2023 WEEK 11 NFL PICKS FOR EVERY GAME
If you liked last season’s Super Bowl, you will love the Week 11 Monday night game between the Eagles and the Chiefs. Not only is this a rematch of last year’s championship matchup that was won by the Chiefs, both teams are coming off their bye week. The Thursday night game between the Bengals and Ravens matches two outstanding teams that stumbled in Week 10.
See our full breakdown of NFL Picks, NFL Player Props, and NFL Odds
Each week we bring you our best NFL bets for that week. Take a look at our past picks and weekly win-loss records:
NFL Week 1 Picks: 11-4 straight up, 6-6, ATS, 2-1 Best Bets
NFL Week 2 Picks: 11-5 straight up, 7-6-1 ATS, 2-1 Best Bets
NFL Week 3 Picks: 6-10 straight up, 6-10, 0-3 Best Bets
NFL Week 4 Picks: 12-4 straight up, 11-4-1 ATS, 1-1-1 Best Bets
NFL Week 5 Picks: 5-9 straight up; 7-7 ATS, 1-2 Best Bets
NFL Week 6 Picks: 10-5 straight up; 8-6 ATS; 2-1 Best Bets.
NFL Week 7 Picks: 5-8 straight up; 4-9 ATS; 1-2 Best Bets
NFL Week 8 Picks: 13-3 straight up; 11-4-1 ATS; 1-1-1 Best Bets
NFL Week 9 Picks: 11-2 straight up; 10-3 ATS; 3-0 Best Bets
NFL Week 10 Picks: 10-4 straight up; 12-2 ATS; 2-1 Best Bets
NFL Week 11 Schedule
The Raiders have responded with back-to-back victories following the firing of Josh McDaniels. Interim head coach Antonio Pierce has gotten his team to play with passion, but now they step up by traveling to South Florida and taking on the high-powered Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa.
Thursday, Nov. 16
- Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, 8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime
Sunday, Nov. 12
- Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET, CBS
- Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
- Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
- Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans, 1 p.m. ET, CBS
- Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET, CBS
- Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET, CBS
- New York Giants at Washington Commanders, 1 p.m. ET, Fox
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox
- New York Jets at Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS
- Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS
- Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Monday, Nov. 19
- Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs, 8:15 p.m. ET. ESPN/ABC
NFL WEEK 11 PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD AND PREDICTIONS
Take a look at all of our picks and predictions for every NFL matchup. We cover all Week 11 games with our expert analysis and determine the best NFL Week 11 picks.
CINCINNATI BENGALS at BALTIMORE RAVENS
Spread: Balt. -3.5
O-U: 43.5
Moneyline: Balt. -188, Cincinnati +158
The Bengals appeared to be back on track prior to their Week 10 loss to the Houston Texans. Perhaps they were looking forward to this meeting with the Ravens, but now they have fallen to 5-4 and they will be desperate to win every game from this point forward. Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase will have to assert themselves and set the tone early in this game.
Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews have the ability to move the ball against the Cincinnati defense, while Odell Beckham Jr. has the big-play ability to light up the scoreboard. Gus Edwards gives the Ravens a running game that can take the heat off of Jackson. The Bengals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. the Ravens in Baltimore.
Prediction: Cincinnati, Straight up and ATS.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS at GREEN BAY PACKERS
Spread: LA -3
O-U: 43.5
Moneyline: GB. +140, LAC -166
The Chargers are going to have to depend on their offense from this point forward since their defense is not capable of stopping solid opponents. The Lions moved the ball at will against Los Angeles in Week 10, and while Justin Herbert and Keenan Allen were nearly able to match Detroit’s offensive production, their opponents had the ball last and won the game. The Chargers should not have that problem against the Packers.
Jordan Love has some ability, but he makes too many mistakes at this point. Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon are solid running backs, but the Packers don’t have the balanced attack to cause many problems. If the Chargers haven’t lost their focus, they should be able to handle this assignment. The Chargers are 2-7 straight up and 3-6 ATS on the road against NFC North opponents.
Prediction: Los Angeles Chargers, Straight up and ATS
TENNESSEE TITANS at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Spread: Jax. -6.5
O-U: 40.5
Moneyline: Jax. -295, Tenn. +240
The Jaguars may be coming off a one-sided loss to the 49ers, but they have had a dynamic year and are a first-place team. They will remain in that position as long as they can hold off the upstart Houston Texans. The combination of quarterback Trevor Lawrence and running back Travis Etienne give the Jaguars the ability to dominate on the offensive side of the ball.
The Titans appear to be playing for the future as they have already installed rookie Will Levis as their No. 1 quarterback. The Titans still have running back Derrick Henry, one of the best at his position in the NFL. DT Denico Autry has 6.0 sacks and excels at punishing interior offensive linemen. Tennessee is 7-3 straight up and ATS against Jacksonville.
Prediction: Jacksonville, Straight up and ATS
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS
Spread: Miami -9.5
O-U: 47.5
Moneyline: Miami -480, Las Vegas +380
The Raiders have won back-to-back games under new head coach Antonio Pierce, and the team seems to be rejuvenated now that Josh McDaniels is out of the picture. Rookie QB Aidan O’Connell plays with courage and hunger even though he lacks accuracy. The Raiders’ strength is their defense, and they will need Maxx Crosby and his teammates to be at their best against the high-powered Dolphins.
Miami is rested after coming off its bye week, and Tua Tagovailoa is a surgical quarterback who can hit his receivers in stride. Tyreek Hill can take the top off of any defense, and running back Raheem Mostert can punish tacklers once he gets to the second level. The Dolphins are 8-2 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS vs. the Raiders.
Prediction: Miami, Straight up and ATS
DALLAS COWBOYS at CAROLINA PANTHERS
Spread: Dall -10.5
O-U: 41.5
Moneyline: Dall. -560, Car. +420
The Cowboys have enjoyed blowout wins over the New York Giants (2), Los Angeles Rams, New York Jets and New England Patriots, and that means they know how to take advantage over a less-than-stellar opponents. The Carolina Panthers certainly fit that category.
The Dallas defense is likely to overwhelm Carolina quarterback Bryce Young. The No. 1 draft pick has struggled badly this season, especially in comparison to No. 2 pick C.J. Stroud. Look for Dak Prescott to continue to build his passing totals by throwing to CeeDee Lamb and tight end Jake Ferguson. The Cowboys are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS against the Panthers.
Prediction: Dallas, Straight up and ATS
ARIZONA CARDINALS at HOUSTON TEXANS
Spread: Hou. -5.5
O-U: 48.5
Moneyline: Hou. -245, Ariz. +200
At the start of the season, this looked like one of the most non-descript games of the season. However, the return of Kyler Murray to the Cardinals and the emergence of C.J. Stroud for the Texans has turned this game into must-see TV. The Cardinals earned a thrilling win over the Falcons in Murray’s first game back after ACL surgery, and he is remarkably explosive as a runner.
Stroud is already one of the most accomplished passers in the league, and he was cool under pressure as he led the Texans on a game-winning drive at Cincinnati. Houston DT Sheldon Rankins is coming off a 3-sack game, and the Texans defense has more to offer than the Arizona’s. The Cardinals are 6-3 straight up and ATS on the road against AFC opponents.
Prediction: Houston, Straight up; Arizona, ATS
PITTSBURGH STEELERS at CLEVELAND BROWNS
Spread: Cle. -4
O-U: 38.5
Moneyline: Pitt. +160, Cle. -190
The Steelers continue to win games even though they almost never have a statistical edge on their opponents. Their usual format is to struggle for the first 3 quarters before finding their game in the 4th quarter and winning the game. That’s what happened when the Steelers and Browns met in Week 2 when Pittsburgh outlasted Cleveland 26-22.
Kenny Pickett has just a 6-4 TD-interception ratio, but he excels in the 4th quarter. T.J.Watt is a game-changing pass rusher with 10.5 sacks and 2 forced fumble. The Browns also have a dominant defense, and Myles Garrett is their best player. He has 11.0 sacks and 4 forced fumbles. Deshaun Watson played well in the 4th quarter vs. the Ravens in Week 10, but he has been inconsistent. The Steelers are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 games at Cleveland.
Prediction: Cleveland, Straight up and ATS
NEW YORK GIANTS at WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Spread: Wash. -9.5
O-U: 36.5
Moneyline: Wash. -500, NYG +385
The Commanders are in a position to get revenge over a team that beat them in their first meeting, and they should be able to dominate against the Giants. It may be difficult for the battered and bruised Giants to win another game this season as they are forced to go with Tommy DeVito under center. The Commanders defeated the Patriots in Week 9 and came close to beating the Seahawks on the road in Week 10.
Sam Howell has thrown for 2,783 yards and has a 17-9 TD-interception ratio. Brian Robinson is a solid running back while Terry McLaurin is a game-changing receiver. Saquon Barkley is a powerful running back, but he can’t win the game by himself. The Giants are 7-2-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS vs. Washington.
Prediction: Washington, Straight up and ATS
CHICAGO BEARS at DETROIT LIONS
Spread: Det. -9.5
O-U: 46.5
Moneyline: Det. -420, Chi. +330
The Lions have passed nearly every test so far this season, and the only thing they have to fear against the Bears is overconfidence. Jared Goff is one of the most accurate passers in the NFL, and he has a brilliant receiver in Amon-Ra St. Brown, who combines excellent hands with superb route-running ability. David Montgomery and speedy rookie Jahmyr Gibbs give the Lions one of the best running attacks in the league. Aidan Hutchinson has 4.5 sacks and a forced fumble and defensive tackle Alim McNeill (4.0 sacks) is one of the most underrated interior linemen.
The Bears could get Justin Fields back in the lineup, and they are hoping that defensive end Montez Sweat can give them a legitimate pass rush. The Bears are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games vs. the Lions.
Prediction: Detroit, Straight up and ATS.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Spread: SF -10.5
O-U: 42.5
Moneyline: SF -590, TB +440
The 3-game losing streak is a thing of the past for the Niners after they went to Jacksonville and overpowered the home team. San Francisco has too many weapons on the offensive side for Tampa Bay’s 24th-ranked defense. The combination of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel will likely dominate for the home team, and there will be plenty of support from Brock Purdy, George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk.
The Niners defense is led by Nick Bosa, and he will cause huge problems for Bucs quarterback Baker Mayfield. If the Mayfield to Mike Evans combination does not hit big plays, this game will be a San Francisco runaway. The Niners are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS at home vs. the Buccaneers.
Prediction: San Francisco, Straight up and ATS
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at LOS ANGELES RAMS
Spread: Sea. -1.5
O-U: 44
Moneyline: Sea. -146, +124
The Seahawks have the memory of a shocking loss to the Rams in Week 1 in the back of their minds. Despite that loss, the Seahawks are tied for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks have a balanced offense with Geno Smith, Kenneth Walker III, D.K. Metcalf and emerging rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
The Rams have fought hard this season but they have been hurt by injuries. Quarterback Matthew Stafford (thumb) is expected to return to the lineup, and he has a pair of top receivers in Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. The Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games with the Seahawks.
Prediction: Seattle, Straight up and ATS
NY JETS at BUFFALO BILLS
Spread: Buff. -7
O-U: 40.5
Moneyline: Buff. -310, NYJ +250
The Bills are one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL this season, and they are coming off an inexcusable home loss to the Denver Broncos on Monday night. Josh Allen has the arm talent and running ability to light up the scoreboard, but the Buffalo offense turned the ball over 4 times to the Bills. Wideout Stefon Diggs and running back James Cook have the speed to torment the Jets, but mistakes could play a key role once again.
The Jets have a powerful defense, but they also own one of the most inept offenses in the league. Zach Wilson is simply too inconsistent to believe he can beat a divisional opponent on the road. The Bills are 13-7 straight up in their last 20 home games vs. the Jets.
Prediction: Buffalo, Straight up; NYJ, ATS
MINNESOTA VIKINGS at DENVER BRONCOS
Spread: Den. -1.5
O-U: 42.5
Moneyline: Den. -132, Minn. +112
The Vikings are the hottest team in football having won 5 straight games and building significant momentum with Josh Dobbs at quarterback. The emergency acquisition has been a very fast study since coming to the Vikings from the Cardinals at the trade deadline. After his miracle finish in Atlanta in Week 9, he won his first game as a starter against the Saints after a huge first half. Wideout Justin Jefferson is off Injured Reserve and could come back, but Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson have done a great job in Jefferson’s absence. The Vikings defense is much improved as Danielle Hunter is tied for the NFL lead in sacks with 11.0.
The Broncos have turned things around after a brutal start. Russell Wilson has led the Broncos to back-to-back wins over Kansas City and Buffalo. The defense is improving steadily. Linebacker Jonathon Cooper has excellent range and can get to the quarterback. Denver is 7-3 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS at home vs. NFC North opponents.
Prediction: Minnesota, Straight Up and ATS
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Spread: KC -2.5
O-U: 47.5
Moneyline: KC -134, Phil. +112
The Eagles and Chiefs not only renew acquaintances after battling in last year’s Super Bowl, both teams should be in excellent condition since they are coming off a bye week. The Eagles have the best record in the league, but Jalen Hurts has not been quite as sharp as he was last year. He had a 15-8 TD-interception ratio. He has a wonderful partnership with wideout A.J. Brown and D’Andre Swift is a productive running back. The Eagles have the best offensive line in the NFL.
The Chiefs have struggled on offense this year, but they have passed their biggest tests against the Dolphins and Chargers. Still, if Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice are going to beat the Eagles, they are going to have to play their best game of the season. The Chiefs are 4-0 straight up and ATS in their last 4 games vs. the Eagles.
Prediction: Philadelphia, Straight Up and ATS
WEEK 11 NFL PICKS & BEST BETS
NFL PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD: BEST BETS FOR WEEK 9 OF THE NFL
- Dallas -10.5 over at Carolina – The Cowboys handled a huge spread last week against the Giants, and they should do the same against the Panthers. Panthers rookie QB Bryce Young looks overwhelmed most games, and it is not going to change against Micah Parsons and the nasty Dallas defense.
- At Detroit -9.5 over Chicago – The Lions are on the edge of becoming an elite team, and after outlasting the Chargers in Week 10, they have a much easier assignment against the Bears. Look for a huge game from ex-Bear running back David Montgomery. Chicago lacks the offense to threaten Aidan Hutchinson & Co.
- Seattle -1.5 over at LA Rams – The Rams played their best game of the season when they dominated the Seahawks in the season opener. The Seahawks get their revenge here. Pete Carroll’s team has the offensive weapons to jump out in front and build a solid lead.
