San Francisco 49ers at Tennessee Titans: 4 Best "Thursday Night Football' Prop, Team Bets
Week 16 of the NFL season kicks off tonight as the San Francisco 49ers will travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans.
The 49ers currently sit as three-point road-favorites tonight, and they look to strengthen their lead for an NFC Wild Card spot. Meanwhile, the Titans are starting to slip, and it could not come at a worse time as the Colts are starting to surge.
As always, we are back with the three bets props of the night as well as the best overall bet of the game. All you have to do is sit back, watch some football, and responsibly place a few wagers.
Here are tonight's winners.
FanDuel: Ryan Tannehill Over 29.5 Pass Completions (-122)
The 49ers' defense against the pass is fourth in passes per game and seventh in passing yards per game. However, they are 28th in opponents' pass completion percentage. Ryan Tannehill is completing 66.2% of his passes, and on the season, he is averaging 32.3 passes per game.
While Tannehill has gone under this total more than he has gone over in 2021, he has gone over this number in three out of the last four. Tennessee will be without the entire left side of their offensive line with Taylor Lewan and Rodger Saffold out tonight, but A.J. Brown will be back in the lineup.
Over the last four games for San Francisco, teams are passing the ball an average of 34 times a game. In most cases, that is because the opposing team is trying to drum up a comeback. If Derrick Henry was healthy, the Titans would not need to rely on Tannehill so much. But with the current state of the Titans' running back room, Tennessee will likely need to pass the ball a lot tonight, and we should easily hit this number.
Barstool: Deebo Samuel Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
This number seems a little low for a player like Deebo Samuel. He currently leads the NFL in yards per catch (17.8), and he has hit this number 10 times this season. He did go through a three-game stretch where he failed to reach 25+ yards receiving, but in those games, he averaged 60.6 yards rushing and had four rushing touchdowns.
He followed that three-game streak with 60 yards receiving on four receptions, so Samuel is still a threat to have a monster game on any given Sunday. The Titans' defense is inside the top five in the majority of rushing categories, and the pass defense has been very hit or miss.
San Francisco will also be throwing out an inexperienced running back group with Trey Sermon, JaMycal Hasty, and Jeff Wilson Jr. all expected to get some carries tonight. The Titans give up the most receiving yards to wide receivers, and that will play well for an electric talent like Samuel.
Draftkings Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: George Kittle (+130)
To say that George Kittle has been having a tremendous stretch of play would be putting it lightly. Over the last three games, Kittle is averaging 141.6 yards and one touchdown per game. They have not been against the best defenses in the NFL, but still, those numbers are very damn impressive.
The Titans have only allowed five touchdown receptions against tight ends this season, but they do not have to play a talent like Kittle every week. Despite only playing 11 games this season, Kittle has 16 more targets than Brandon Aiyuk, and he is only 17 targets behind Samuel, who has been the best offensive weapon in the NFL this season.
San Francisco's running back room is not going to win them this game, and even if it was at full-strength, the Titans' front seven is nasty. Kittle should have no problems finding the end zone tonight, and at +130, the value is incredible.
Bovada Best Bet: Over 44.5
Both teams are 7-7 against the total this season, and the over has hit in the last five matchups between these two teams.
While Tennessee is more of a run-first team, their injuries and talent in the running back room currently will force Tannehill to pass the ball to win tonight. The same goes for the 49ers, except they have to face the best defense against the run.
At the end of the day, the Titans are just not currently good enough to beat or even cover against the 49ers. However, they are good enough to score just enough points to push this game over the total. This total is a little low, and the over is 7-1 in Titans' games where the total is set at 44.5 or more. For the 49ers, the over is 5-3 in the same circumstances.
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