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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

March 5 07:30 PM (F/OT)
NBCS Toyota Center

MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Rockets and Warriors have a notable rivalry that reflects contrasting philosophies. Houston thrives on a high-paced, three-point-heavy offense, while Golden State blends that with strong ball movement and defensive intensity. Historically, the Warriors have had the upper hand in this matchup, especially at home, where their shooting-friendly arena amplifies their offensive style. Travel distance is less of a factor here, as both teams are familiar with each other from frequent playoff encounters. Betting trends show that the Warriors often capitalize on their home court advantage, making them a tough matchup for the Rockets, especially when considering their historical head-to-head stats. Overall, understanding this rivalry’s dynamics can provide valuable context for bettors looking to navigate this matchup.
Final Score
115
113
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Final Score
115
113
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Final Score
115
113
Confidence Level: 78%

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Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS MONEYLINE

When the Rockets face the Warriors, you’re looking at a classic clash of styles. Houston’s been all about that high-octane offense, relying on threes and spacing, while Golden State counters with ball movement and defensive versatility. Historically, the Warriors have had the edge at home, but the Rockets’ ability to shoot lights out can flip the script, making these matchups a wild ride for bettors.See Game Picks

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS POINT SPREAD

When the Rockets and Warriors face off, you’re looking at a clash of styles that has defined their rivalry. The Rockets have historically leaned on their perimeter shooting and isolation plays, while the Warriors bring that fluid ball movement and defensive versatility. In terms of betting, the Warriors’ home court has often given them an edge against the spread, but the Rockets have a knack for surprising teams with their offensive firepower, especially when the line is tight. Over the years, this matchup has seen its fair share of line movement, often reflecting the public’s perception of the Warriors’ star power versus the Rockets’ ability to shoot the lights out.See Game Picks

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS OVER/UNDER

When the Rockets and Warriors face off, you’re looking at a clash of styles that often leads to interesting total outcomes. The Rockets have historically leaned into a high-paced, three-point heavy offense, especially during their peak years, while the Warriors also thrive in that space but with a more fluid ball movement approach. This rivalry tends to see totals go over when both teams are firing on all cylinders, but in tighter matchups, the defensive adjustments can keep things under, particularly when the Warriors lock down at home. Historically, the over/under has fluctuated based on how well each team is hitting from deep, so it’s smart to watch their shooting percentages leading up to these games.See Game Picks
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
as Fav
0-0
0-0
as Dog
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
RESULT
LOSE 96-111
DATE
04/17
SPREAD
+2.0
O/U
u218.0
RESULT
WIN 126-121
DATE
04/15
SPREAD
+3.5
O/U
o219.5
RESULT
LOSE 110-115
DATE
04/12
SPREAD
+8.5
O/U
o225.0
RESULT
LOSE 118-124
DATE
04/10
SPREAD
-11.0
O/U
o230.5
RESULT
LOSE 119-103
DATE
04/09
SPREAD
-5.5
O/U
u225.5
RESULT
LOSE 98-78
DATE
05/01
SPREAD
-3.5
O/U
u206.5
RESULT
WIN 99-93
DATE
04/29
SPREAD
+2.5
O/U
u206.5
RESULT
WIN 96-115
DATE
04/26
SPREAD
-4.5
O/U
o207.5
RESULT
LOSE 94-101
DATE
04/21
SPREAD
-4.5
O/U
u205.5
RESULT
LOSE 98-107
DATE
04/18
SPREAD
-5.0
O/U
u206.0
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
106-95
DATE
10/29
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
116-121
DATE
11/20
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
133-110
DATE
04/04
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
127-121
DATE
11/02
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
93-99
DATE
12/05

BOX SCORE: NBA TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

115.00
Points per Game
113.00
46.10
Field Goal Percentage
47.90
56.50
2-Point Field Goal Percentage
54.00
35.60
3-Point Field Goal Percentage
36.40
80.70
Free Throw Percentage
76.30
18.00
Offensive Rebounds
17.00
29.00
Defensive Rebounds
32.00
29.00
Assists per Game
26.00
5.00
Blocked Shots
2.00
19.00
Turnovers
17.00
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
50.00
26.00
9.00
1.00
47.10
23.00
6.00
2.00
0.00
12.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
50.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
41.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
61.90
14.00
6.00
6.00
55.60
10.00
5.00
8.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
50.00
17.00
6.00
5.00
42.90
4.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
64.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
POS
SG
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Moody is recovery from a torn patellar tendon in his left knee and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season for the Warriors.
POS
SF
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Butler III is recovering from a torn ACL and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season.
POS
PF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Toohey is managing a left knee injury and is uncertain to take the court for the Warriors.
full roster and injuries
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
48.80
18.00
10.00
5.00
30.70
30.00
3.00
6.00
27.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
44.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
41.50
2.18
1.66
0.34
38.80
3.00
11.00
2.00
58.30
23.00
6.00
3.00
100.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
47.70
9.00
5.00
2.00
40.00
6.50
1.50
0.50
41.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
30.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
52.90
3.21
2.29
0.43
46.50
17.00
7.00
7.00
37.50
4.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
full roster