Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? $65 Volume ↑ 30.2% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 72¢ Buy No · 28¢ 72% Yes chance Yes 72% No 28% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Moving Now Elon Musk # tweets July 6 – July 8, 2026? <40 54% Yes No 40-64 38% Yes No Elon Musk # tweets July 7 – July 14, 2026? 160-179 16% Yes No 180-199 16% Yes No Moving Now Khamenei # posts July 7 – July 14, 2026? <5 56% Yes No 5-9 26% Yes No CZ # posts July 7 – July 14, 2026? <20 72% Yes No 20-39 24% Yes No Moving Now Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 7 – July 14, 2026? 100-119 29% Yes No 120-139 23% Yes No Moving Now White House # posts July 7 – July 14, 2026? 180-199 41% Yes No 160-179 34% Yes No Moving Now Zelenskyy # posts July 7 – July 14, 2026? 60-79 51% Yes No 80-99 43% Yes No Moving Now What will Trump say this week? (July 6 – July 12) Outside 100% Yes No Pass 100% Yes No Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory Bev Craig 5–10% 40% Yes No Bev Craig 10–15% 22% Yes No Moving Now Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (July 6 – July 11) July 7 85% Yes No July 8 50% Yes No Moving Now Trump approval rating on July 10? 40.0–40.4 36% Yes No 39.5–39.9 35% Yes No What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (July 6 – July 12) AI / Artificial Intelligence 100% Yes No Oil / Gas 100% Yes No Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? Nermin Nikšić 29% Yes No Elmedin Konaković 24% Yes No Moving Now Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? 27% chance Yes No Moving Now Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? 37% chance Yes No What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (July 6) Right 98% Yes No Crazy 98% Yes No How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)? 2–3 51% Yes No 4–5 29% Yes No How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala? 3 35% Yes No 1 28% Yes No Moving Now 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner Tayte Willows 54% Yes No Caley McDonald 24% Yes No São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner Carlos Vila Nova 82% Yes No Nito Abreu 17% Yes No Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner Colin Sutton 90% Yes No Beth Jones 10% Yes No The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner Jennifer Flett 96% Yes No Dan Quesnel 0% Yes No Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? 4% chance Yes No California Tax Spend Audit Proposition 37% chance Yes No California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition 31% chance Yes No California Clinic Funding Proposition 42% chance Yes No California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition 75% chance Yes No California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition 71% chance Yes No California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition 47% chance Yes No Moving Now California Immunology Research Bond Proposition 33% chance Yes No Moving Now USMCA extended in 2026? 50% chance Yes No Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? David Leslie 45% Yes No Carol Hafner 45% Yes No AZ-02 Democratic Primary Winner Jonathan Nez 98% Yes No Eric Descheenie 2% Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 59 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
