Politics PrimariesGlobal ElectionsTrumpIsraelVenezuelaUkraineMidtermsEpsteinCourtsCongressGazaNYC MayorGovernment ShutdownsSenateUS Election Market of the Day Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $1.9m Volume ↑ 0.6% today View Market Watch Abiy Ahmed 95% Yes No Gedion Timothewos 2% Yes No Alesa Mengesha 1% Yes No +5 more 95% Leading Abiy Ahmed 95% Gedion Ti… 2% Alesa Men… 1% +5 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Status All Unresolved Resolved U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by…? July 31 6% Yes No June 30 0% Yes No Read Article Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? 19% chance Yes No Read Article UK social media ban in effect by…? June 30, 2027 51% Yes No December 31, 2026 11% Yes No Read Article García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…? December 31, 2026 13% Yes No July 31, 2026 3% Yes No Read Article Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? 49% chance Yes No Read Article Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? 1% chance Yes No Read Article John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31? 4% chance Yes No Read Article Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? 12% chance Yes No Read Article NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5% 98% Yes No Lasher 5–10% 1% Yes No Read Article Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? 6% chance Yes No Read Article Maranhão Governor Election Winner Eduardo Braide 79% Yes No Orleans Brandão 21% Yes No Read Article Paraíba Governor Election Winner Lucas Ribeiro 71% Yes No Cícero Lucena 23% Yes No Read Article Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Ricardo Ferraço 63% Yes No Lorenzo Pazolini 33% Yes No Read Article Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by…? December 31 99% Yes No October 31 98% Yes No Read Article Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence Thom Tillis 96% Yes No John Cornyn 74% Yes No Read Article Georgia Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory Jackson 5–10% 99% Yes No Jackson 10–15% 1% Yes No Read Article Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? Donald Trump 100% Yes No JD Vance 100% Yes No Read Article Another critical Cloudflare incident by…? September 30 51% Yes No August 31 47% Yes No Read Article Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? Anthony Albanese 41% Yes No Pauline Hanson 21% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by…? August 30 64% Yes No December 31 56% Yes No Read Article Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? 49% chance Yes No Read Article How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? 50 37% Yes No 52 35% Yes No Read Article Pará Governor Election Winner Dr. Daniel Santos 50% Yes No Hana Ghassan 38% Yes No Read Article Goiás Governor Election Winner Daniel Vilela 85% Yes No Wilder Morais 14% Yes No Read Article Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner Jorginho Mello 89% Yes No João Rodrigues 7% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Paraná Governor Election Winner Sergio Moro 82% Yes No Requião Filho 11% Yes No Read Article Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner Eduardo Paes 93% Yes No Douglas Ruas 3% Yes No Read Article Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? 19% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? 16% chance Yes No Read Article Next Mayor of Johannesburg? Helen Zille 44% Yes No Frank Chikane 38% Yes No Read Article Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? 82% chance Yes No Read Article Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? 74% chance Yes No Read Article Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? 0% chance Yes No Read Article Previous 1 … 3 4 5 6 7 … 61 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
