Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? $4.1m Volume โ 68% today View Market Watch Buy Yes ยท 6ยข Buy No ยท 94ยข 6% Yes chance Yes 6% No 94% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place Moderate Party (M) 68% Yes No Sweden Democrats (SD) 28% Yes No Josรฉ Luis Rodrรญguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? 9% chance Yes No Moving Now US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by…? June 30 74% Yes No June 19 24% Yes No Moving Now Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory Burnham 9%+ 100% Yes No Burnham 3-6% 0% Yes No Will John Fleming drop out? 17% chance Yes No Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30? 2% chance Yes No Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by…? December 31 20% Yes No June 30 2% Yes No Mexico Legislative Election Winner Morena 81% Yes No PRI 9% Yes No Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30? 11% chance Yes No US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? 14% chance Yes No Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? 14% chance Yes No Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by…? June 30 1% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Nick Fuentes federally charged? 5% chance Yes No Russia coup attempt in 2026? 9% chance Yes No Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30? 1% chance Yes No LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory? Bass 5โ10% 96% Yes No Bass 0โ5% 2% Yes No Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by…? December 31 78% Yes No June 30 32% Yes No California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner Fiona Ma 92% Yes No Josh Fryday 3% Yes No Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Will Gรฉrard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? 75% chance Yes No Fed Decision in September? No change 50% Yes No 25 bps increase 38% Yes No Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by…? June 30 98% Yes No December 31 98% Yes No Candidates in next Labour leadership election? Andy Burnham 92% Yes No Wes Streeting 31% Yes No Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by…? December 31 86% Yes No June 30 0% Yes No Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by…? December 31 47% Yes No October 31 29% Yes No Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? 51% chance Yes No Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner? Kyle Diamantas 38% Yes No Sara Brenner 17% Yes No Federal Gas Tax Suspended by…? November 2 29% Yes No June 30 1% Yes No Moving Now DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by…? June 30 12% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Which coalition will form the next Romanian government? PNL + USR 48% Yes No PSD + PNL + UDMR 47% Yes No Moving Now Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 48% chance Yes No ๐ 1 whale wallet active on this market ยท real-time with VIP Upgrade → Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania? PNL 29% Yes No Independent/Technocrat 28% Yes No Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? 87% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 4 5 6 7 8 … 53 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
