Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? $4m Volume ↓ 56% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 5¢ Buy No · 95¢ 5% Yes chance Yes 5% No 95% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon New Zealand Election: 2nd Place Labour Party 50% Yes No National Party 37% Yes No Moving Now New Zealand legislative election winner? Labour Party 53% Yes No National Party 41% Yes No Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? Chris Hipkins 40% Yes No Christopher Luxon 40% Yes No James Comey in jail by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Israel election: will Likud lose seats? 85% chance Yes No Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? 8% chance Yes No Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? 10% chance Yes No Moving Now Israeli election results in a hung parliament? 32% chance Yes No Israel Election: Likud # of seats? 25-29 37% Yes No 20-24 21% Yes No U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? 81% chance Yes No Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? 10% chance Yes No James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? 5% chance Yes No OPEC dissolves in 2026? 7% chance Yes No Moving Now Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Starmer – UK PM 70% Yes No Petro – Colombia President 27% Yes No Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? 10% chance Yes No UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? 8% chance Yes No Moving Now Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner Cleitinho Azevedo 61% Yes No Mateus Simões 12% Yes No Bahia Governor Election Winner Jerônimo Rodrigues 52% Yes No ACM Neto 44% Yes No Ceará Governor Election Winner Ciro Gomes 63% Yes No Elmano de Freitas 30% Yes No Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner PL 89% Yes No MISSÃO 5% Yes No Moving Now São Paulo Governor Election Winner Tarcísio de Freitas 79% Yes No Fernando Haddad 10% Yes No Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Abiy Ahmed 97% Yes No Belete Molla 1% Yes No Trump renames ICE to NICE by…? December 31 16% Yes No June 30 3% Yes No Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? 59% chance Yes No Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? 10% chance Yes No Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? 11% chance Yes No Will Xi meet with Takaichi by…? December 31 44% Yes No June 30 1% Yes No MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink 81% Yes No Matt Maasdam 10% Yes No 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? Jean-Luc Mélenchon 95% Yes No Nathalie Arthaud 91% Yes No Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding? 19% chance Yes No SPLC found guilty in 2026? 62% chance Yes No OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford 97% Yes No Jackson Lahmeyer 1% Yes No FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz 47% Yes No Elijah Manley 45% Yes No Previous 1 … 6 7 8 9 10 … 53 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
