Science EarthquakesGlobal TempHurricanesMeaslesNatural DisastersPandemicsSpaceWeather Market of the Day How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 – July 12? $2.3k Volume ↑ 10% today View Market Watch ≤8 46% Yes No 10 11% Yes No 11 9% Yes No +5 more 46% Leading ≤8 46% 10 11% 11 9% +5 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 26, 2026? 85–90 98% Yes No <80 2% Yes No Moving Now How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 – July 12? ≤8 46% Yes No 10 11% Yes No How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 – July 12? Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 – July 12? 44% Yes No 1 31% Yes No Measles cases in U.S. by July 31? 2200 99% Yes No 2300 33% Yes No FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa? 85% chance Yes No FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? 85% chance Yes No FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010? 91% chance Yes No Screwworm National Emergency declared by…? October 31 56% Yes No August 30 54% Yes No SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? 75% chance Yes No SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 August 31 89% Yes No Successful splash down? 81% Yes No Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by… December 31 66% Yes No August 30 46% Yes No July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) 1.25–1.29ºC 45% Yes No 1.20–1.24ºC 42% Yes No How many Tornadoes in the US in July? <100 37% Yes No 100–129 30% Yes No FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer? 6% chance Yes No How many Tornadoes in the US in June? 310+ 99% Yes No 280–310 2% Yes No June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) 1.15–1.19ºC 96% Yes No 1.10–1.14ºC 3% Yes No 2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? 2nd hottest 98% Yes No 3rd hottest 1% Yes No Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? 13% chance Yes No Moving Now Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? 10% chance Yes No Moving Now How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? 1250+ 69% Yes No 1200–1249 6% Yes No Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? 77% chance Yes No Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 88% Yes No Anthropic 13% Yes No Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? 0% chance Yes No CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? 13% chance Yes No Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? 6% chance Yes No Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? 17% chance Yes No Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? 30% chance Yes No 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Natural Disaster in 2026? 22% chance Yes No New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? 6% chance Yes No Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? 13% chance Yes No Human moon landing in 2026? 3% chance Yes No 5kt meteor strike in 2026? 27% chance Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
