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Natural Disasters

Market of the Day

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$141 Volume ↓ 4% today
19% Yes chance
Yes 19%
No 81%
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<100 55%
100–129 32%
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1250+ 90%
1200–1249 4%
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14–16 46%
17–19 33%
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Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 67%
1 22%
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Resolved
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 – 14? 100%
1 0%
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Resolved
>9 100%
≤3 0%
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