Science EarthquakesGlobal TempHurricanesMeaslesNatural DisastersPandemicsSpaceWeather Market of the Day Precipitation in London in June? $53 Volume ↑ 17.5% today View Market 50-60mm 48% Yes No 40-50mm 43% Yes No 60-70mm 42% Yes No +4 more 48% Leading 50-60mm 48% 40-50mm 43% 60-70mm 42% +4 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? 29% chance Yes No New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? 6% chance Yes No Natural Disaster in 2026? 23% chance Yes No Human moon landing in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? 13% chance Yes No 5kt meteor strike in 2026? 28% chance Yes No How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? 11–13 32% Yes No 14–16 31% Yes No How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 67% Yes No 1 20% Yes No Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? Hong Wang 86% Yes No Jacob Tsimerman 81% Yes No Moving Now Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by…? December 31, 2027 71% Yes No June 30, 2027 44% Yes No How many SpaceX launches in 2026? 140-159 59% Yes No 160-179 27% Yes No FDA approves Retatrutide this year? 12% chance Yes No Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? 5% chance Yes No New pandemic in 2026? 10% chance Yes No Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? ↑1k 100% Yes No ↑2k 100% Yes No 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 6% chance Yes No 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 5% chance Yes No How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? <5 53% Yes No 5-6 24% Yes No SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? 34% chance Yes No U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? 43% chance Yes No Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? 2 67% Yes No 1 25% Yes No New COVID variant of concern before 2027? 15% chance Yes No Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…? December 31 10% Yes No September 30 5% Yes No Resolved How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 – June 14? >9 95% Yes No ≤3 0% Yes No Resolved Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026? 85–90 100% Yes No <80 0% Yes No Resolved FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz? 0% chance Yes No Resolved How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 – June 7? >9 100% Yes No 9 1% Yes No Resolved How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 – June 7? 2 100% Yes No Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 – 7? 0% Yes No Resolved Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 21, 2026? 85–90 100% Yes No <80 0% Yes No Resolved How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 24 – May 30) Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week? 100% Yes No 1 0% Yes No Resolved Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 20, 2026? 85–90 100% Yes No <80 0% Yes No Resolved FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza? 97% chance Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
