Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? $4m Volume ↓ 56% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 5¢ Buy No · 95¢ 5% Yes chance Yes 5% No 95% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Schwartz 98% Yes No Randi White 2% Yes No Moving Now CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Melat Kiros 56% Yes No Diana DeGette 46% Yes No MO-06 Republican Primary Winner Chris Stigall 68% Yes No Cody Oshel 30% Yes No Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 44% Yes No Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 29% Yes No Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? 6% chance Yes No How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year? 2 29% Yes No 4 28% Yes No Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 59% Yes No New People (NL) 30% Yes No Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout 50-53% 30% Yes No 47-50% 26% Yes No Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout? 57-60% 98% Yes No 48-51% 2% Yes No Christopher Luxon out by September 30? 26% chance Yes No No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? 6% chance Yes No Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? 28% chance Yes No Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? 44% chance Yes No Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by…? June 30 8% Yes No April 17 0% Yes No Moving Now CA-14 Special Election Winner? Aisha Wahab 86% Yes No Melissa Hernandez 41% Yes No California Governor Primary Election: First Place Xavier Becerra 99% Yes No Steve Hilton 0% Yes No 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade → Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? 16% chance Yes No California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30? 5% chance Yes No Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30? 3% chance Yes No Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen? Israel 15% Yes No Sudan 14% Yes No Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? 6% chance Yes No Moving Now Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July? Increase 84% Yes No No Change 17% Yes No Alcatraz reopened in 2026? 8% chance Yes No Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? 26% chance Yes No Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner Marquita Bradshaw 61% Yes No Maria Brewer 25% Yes No Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Steve Bannon exonerated by…? June 30 19% Yes No Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30? 0% Yes No Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? 3% chance Yes No Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? 29% chance Yes No Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? 13% chance Yes No Toronto Mayoral Election Winner Olivia Chow 78% Yes No Brad Bradford 23% Yes No Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? 13% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 7 8 9 10 11 … 53 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
