Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? $4m Volume ↓ 54.5% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 5¢ Buy No · 95¢ 5% Yes chance Yes 5% No 95% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Moving Now Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by…? June 30 24% Yes No April 30 0% Yes No Moving Now Spain snap election called in 2026? 45% chance Yes No Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? 19% chance Yes No Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? 93% chance Yes No Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? 15% chance Yes No Moving Now Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? 52% chance Yes No Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Who will enter Iran by June 30? Any U.S. House member 1% Yes No Any U.S. Senator 1% Yes No Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? 5% chance Yes No Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 84% Yes No Reza Pahlavi 4% Yes No Next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mojtaba Khamenei 100% Yes No Muhammad Mirbaqiri 0% Yes No Anthropic CEO arrested? 1% chance Yes No Next leader out of power before 2027? Khamenei – Iran Supreme Leader 100% Yes No Kim – Supreme Leader of North Korea 0% Yes No Trump declares election interference national emergency? 9% chance Yes No Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by…? June 30 16% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Bill Gates charged by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? 37% chance Yes No Epstein storage units raided in 2026? 21% chance Yes No Tony Gonzales charged by June 30? 12% chance Yes No Moving Now Will Russia enter Stinky by…? July 31 41% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Next Country US Strikes Somalia 100% Yes No Yemen 0% Yes No Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? 18% chance Yes No SBF released from custody in 2026? 5% chance Yes No Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by…? December 31 38% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Kash Patel out by…? December 31 52% Yes No June 30 5% Yes No U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by…? March 31 96% Yes No February 28 0% Yes No Les Wexner charged by June 30? 4% chance Yes No Moving Now 2026 Midterms: House Turnout 120-125m 30% Yes No 130m+ 27% Yes No Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by…? December 31 48% Yes No June 30 1% Yes No Will Russia capture all of Lyman by…? December 31 27% Yes No June 30 1% Yes No Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Moving Now Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by…? July 31 23% Yes No April 30 0% Yes No Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? 7% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 9 10 11 12 13 … 53 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
