Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? $4.1m Volume ↓ 68% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 6¢ Buy No · 94¢ 6% Yes chance Yes 6% No 94% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? 25% chance Yes No Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania? UDMR 68% Yes No PSD 51% Yes No France United Left Primary Winner Canceled 53% Yes No Marine Tondelier 12% Yes No Next Prime Minister of Romania? Alexandru Nazare 17% Yes No Adrian Veștea 15% Yes No Moving Now Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by…? June 30 20% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Israel closes its airspace by…? July 31 16% Yes No July 15 13% Yes No Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? 4% chance Yes No Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? 2% chance Yes No Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? Delcy Rodríguez 90% Yes No No Head of State 5% Yes No Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? National + ACT + NZF 46% Yes No National + ACT + Maori 31% Yes No DOJ reopens Powell investigation by…? June 30 0% Yes No May 15 0% Yes No Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Next Premier of Quebec Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 62% Yes No Christine Fréchette 15% Yes No Argentina Presidential Election Winner Javier Milei 49% Yes No Axel Kicillof 43% Yes No KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? 6% chance Yes No JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by…? June 30 36% Yes No May 15 0% Yes No Israeli Legislative Election Winner Yashar 36% Yes No Likud 33% Yes No 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate Jordan Bardella 76% Yes No Marine Le Pen 20% Yes No Moving Now Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by…? June 30 97% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Moving Now Who will be arrested before 2027? John Brennan 38% Yes No Brandon Johnson 28% Yes No Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by…? June 30 22% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by…? June 30 9% Yes No May 15 0% Yes No Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by…? June 30 19% Yes No May 31 0% Yes No Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? North Carolina 97% Yes No Ohio 95% Yes No Trump goes to space in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? 1% chance Yes No NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? Labour 0-5% 29% Yes No Labour 5-10% 28% Yes No Moving Now Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand? Labour Party 56% Yes No Green Party 55% Yes No NZ Election: National Party # of seats? 40-44 30% Yes No 35-39 26% Yes No NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? 45-49 38% Yes No 40-44 20% Yes No New Zealand Election: Turnout 80-82% 33% Yes No 78-80% 30% Yes No New Zealand Election: 3rd Place New Zealand First Party 59% Yes No Green Party 36% Yes No Previous 1 … 5 6 7 8 9 … 53 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
