Politics PrimariesGlobal ElectionsTrumpIsraelVenezuelaUkraineMidtermsEpsteinCourtsCongressGazaNYC MayorGovernment ShutdownsSenateUS Election Market of the Day Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $1.9m Volume ↑ 0.6% today View Market Watch Abiy Ahmed 95% Yes No Gedion Timothewos 2% Yes No Alesa Mengesha 1% Yes No +5 more 95% Leading Abiy Ahmed 95% Gedion Ti… 2% Alesa Men… 1% +5 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Status All Unresolved Resolved Will Congress override any veto in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Read Article St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner Charlie Crist 85% Yes No Ken Welch 14% Yes No Read Article Trump signs housing bill by end of July? 1% chance Yes No Read Article Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31? Kazem Gharibabadi 48% Yes No Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani 47% Yes No Read Article What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 31% Yes No Dilution of Iran's Uranium 31% Yes No Read Article Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? 20% chance Yes No Read Article IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by…? December 31 29% Yes No October 31 17% Yes No Read Article US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? 52% chance Yes No Read Article Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? 18% chance Yes No Read Article São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner Carlos Vila Nova 100% Yes No Nito Abreu 0% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026? 70% chance Yes No Read Article Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? Angela Rayner 100% Yes No Wes Streeting 100% Yes No Read Article Next Romania PM appointed by…? December 31 92% Yes No July 31 3% Yes No Read Article Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? 12% chance Yes No Read Article UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? 31% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? 28% chance Yes No Read Article FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…? December 31, 2026 60% Yes No August 31, 2026 28% Yes No Read Article Next round of US-Iran peace talks by…? August 31 42% Yes No August 15 26% Yes No 🔒 3 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be…? No Meeting by September 30 28% Yes No Switzerland 25% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by…? August 15 12% Yes No July 31 3% Yes No 🔒 6 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Moving Now US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by…? August 31 17% Yes No July 31 2% Yes No Read Article Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest? 100% chance Yes No Read Article Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government? 98% chance Yes No Read Article NY-17 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Conley 15%+ 98% Yes No Conley <5% 1% Yes No Read Article Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner Bev Craig 99% Yes No Geraldine Coggins 1% Yes No Read Article NY-07 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Valdez 15%+ 99% Yes No Valdez 10–15% 1% Yes No Read Article NY-10 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lander 30%+ 98% Yes No Lander <10% 1% Yes No Read Article NY-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Avila Chevalier <5% 100% Yes No Avila Chevalier 10%+ 16% Yes No Read Article Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? 3% chance Yes No Read Article Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? 6% chance Yes No Read Article SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans? 100% chance Yes No Read Article Russia x Ukraine peace talks by…? December 31 62% Yes No September 30 42% Yes No Read Article US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by…? October 31 72% Yes No August 31 52% Yes No Read Article Previous 1 2 3 4 5 6 … 61 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on