Politics PrimariesGlobal ElectionsTrumpIsraelVenezuelaUkraineMidtermsEpsteinCourtsCongressGazaNYC MayorGovernment ShutdownsSenateUS Election Market of the Day Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $1.9m Volume ↑ 0.6% today View Market Watch Abiy Ahmed 95% Yes No Gedion Timothewos 2% Yes No Alesa Mengesha 1% Yes No +5 more 95% Leading Abiy Ahmed 95% Gedion Ti… 2% Alesa Men… 1% +5 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Status All Unresolved Resolved Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? 25% chance Yes No Read Article What animals will Trump say in July? Bird 100% Yes No Eagle 100% Yes No Read Article How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)? 2–3 75% Yes No 0–1 13% Yes No Read Article How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala? 2 40% Yes No 3 28% Yes No Read Article São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner Carlos Vila Nova 100% Yes No Nito Abreu 0% Yes No Read Article Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? 4% chance Yes No Read Article California Tax Spend Audit Proposition 40% chance Yes No Read Article California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition 78% chance Yes No Read Article California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition 36% chance Yes No Read Article California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition 48% chance Yes No Read Article California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition 31% chance Yes No Read Article California Clinic Funding Proposition 40% chance Yes No Read Article California Immunology Research Bond Proposition 56% chance Yes No Read Article USMCA extended in 2026? 33% chance Yes No Read Article Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? Mary Peltola 66% Yes No Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 33% Yes No Read Article Next Prime Minister of Serbia? Aleksandar Vučić 73% Yes No Ana Brnabić 11% Yes No Read Article Colorado Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory Marx <1% 99% Yes No Marx 1–2% 2% Yes No Read Article Will Trump publicly insult someone on…? July 1 100% Yes No July 2 100% Yes No Read Article Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro) None before 2027 34% Yes No Netanyahu – Israel PM 25% Yes No Read Article What will Trump do on the 4th of July? Insult Someone 100% Yes No Wear a Red Tie 100% Yes No Read Article CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Kiros 10–15% 99% Yes No Kiros 20%+ 1% Yes No Read Article Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? 4% chance Yes No Read Article Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner Ana Brnabić 35% Yes No Đuro Macut 22% Yes No Read Article Closest Governor's Race? Ohio 13% Yes No Nevada 11% Yes No Read Article What will Trump say in July? Genius 100% Yes No Muscle 100% Yes No Read Article Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31? Joe Biden 100% Yes No Barack Obama 100% Yes No Read Article Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31? Brett Kavanaugh 100% Yes No King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud 100% Yes No Read Article Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31? 2% chance Yes No Read Article Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? 16% chance Yes No Read Article US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? 10% chance Yes No Read Article Serbia parliament dissolved by…? December 31 82% Yes No August 31 32% Yes No Read Article Vučić officially leaves office by…? July 31 6% Yes No July 17 0% Yes No Read Article Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? 22% chance Yes No Read Article Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 61 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
