Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $470 Volume ↑ 41.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 89¢ Buy No · 11¢ 89% Yes chance Yes 89% No 11% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April? 0-10 100% Yes No 30-40 0% Yes No Resolved Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April? 20+ 100% Yes No 80+ 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? 800-839 100% Yes No 880-919 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets March 27 – April 3, 2026? 260-279 100% Yes No 280-299 0% Yes No Resolved Ted Cruz # posts March 27 – April 3, 2026? 80-99 100% Yes No 100-119 0% Yes No Resolved CZ # posts March 27 – April 3, 2026? <20 100% Yes No 20-39 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 – April 3, 2026? 80-99 100% Yes No 100-119 0% Yes No Resolved White House # posts March 27 – April 3, 2026? 200+ 100% Yes No <20 0% Yes No Resolved Terrebone By-Election Winner Tatiana Auguste 100% Yes No Maxime Beaudoin 0% Yes No Resolved Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by…? April 30 100% Yes No May 31 100% Yes No Resolved What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30? Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery 100% Yes No East–West Pipeline 100% Yes No Resolved Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30? Bahrain 0% Yes No Kuwait 0% Yes No Resolved Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place Fidesz-KDNP 100% Yes No TISZA 0% Yes No Resolved Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place Mi Hazánk 100% Yes No DK 0% Yes No Resolved Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff? Other 100% Yes No López Aliaga & López Chau 0% Yes No Resolved Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament? Mi Hazánk 100% Yes No DK 0% Yes No Resolved IN-04 Republican Primary Winner Jim Baird 100% Yes No Craig Haggard 0% Yes No Resolved Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Roberto Sánchez Palomino 100% Yes No Mario Vizcarra 0% Yes No Resolved Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner Keiko Fujimori 100% Yes No Rafael López Aliaga 0% Yes No Resolved Houthi military action against Israel by…? April 30 100% Yes No April 15 99% Yes No Resolved Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will another country conduct military action against Iran by…? April 30 0% Yes No April 15 0% Yes No Resolved Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Houthis successfully target shipping by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved Israeli forces enter Beirut by…? April 30 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by…? June 30 100% Yes No April 30 100% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote 50-54% 98% Yes No 54%+ 0% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats? 130+ 100% Yes No 100+ 100% Yes No Resolved Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats? 80+ 0% Yes No 100+ 0% Yes No Resolved Military action against Iran ends by…? April 30 100% Yes No May 31 100% Yes No Previous 1 … 45 46 47 48 49 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
