Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $470 Volume ↑ 41.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 89¢ Buy No · 11¢ 89% Yes chance Yes 89% No 11% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? 99% chance Yes No Resolved Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by…? December 31 100% Yes No March 31 100% Yes No Resolved Fed decision in April? No change 100% Yes No 50+ bps decrease 0% Yes No Resolved Canada recession before 2027? 99% chance Yes No Resolved Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner Josh Turek 100% Yes No Chris Henry 0% Yes No Resolved Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner DISY 77% Yes No AKEL 24% Yes No Resolved Incheon Mayoral Election Winner Park Chan-dae 100% Yes No Yoo Jeong-bok 0% Yes No Resolved Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner Park Soo-hyun 100% Yes No Chung Jin-suk 0% Yes No Resolved Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner Shin Yong-han 100% Yes No Kim Young-hwan 0% Yes No Resolved Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner Woo Sang-ho 100% Yes No Kim Wan-seop 0% Yes No Resolved 2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 100% Yes No Progressive Party (PP) 0% Yes No Resolved Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner Ken Paxton 97% Yes No John Cornyn 3% Yes No Resolved Next Prime Minister of Hungary Péter Magyar 100% Yes No Viktor Orbán 0% Yes No Resolved Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? 26% chance Yes No Resolved Nuclear weapon detonation by…? Before 2027 22% Yes No June 30 11% Yes No Resolved Will Trump visit China by…? May 31 100% Yes No June 30 100% Yes No Previous 1 … 47 48 49 50 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
