Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $470 Volume ↑ 41.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 89¢ Buy No · 11¢ 89% Yes chance Yes 89% No 11% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Galway-West By-Election Winner? Noel Thomas 48% Yes No Seán Kyne 32% Yes No Resolved GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner Nikema Williams 99% Yes No Andres Castro 1% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026? 1040-1079 100% Yes No <20 0% Yes No Resolved Dublin-Central By-Election Winner Daniel Ennis 79% Yes No Janice Boylan 17% Yes No Resolved Farrer By-Election Winner David Farley 100% Yes No Rebecca Scriven 0% Yes No Resolved Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved When will the US next strike Iran? (Week) February 22-28 100% Yes No March 1-7 0% Yes No Resolved # of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections? 4 100% Yes No 5 0% Yes No Resolved Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by…? December 31 100% Yes No June 30 100% Yes No Resolved How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet? 10–15s 100% Yes No 15s+ 0% Yes No Resolved TX-19 Republican Primary Winner Tom Sell 99% Yes No Abraham Enriquez 1% Yes No Resolved TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner Colin Allred 100% Yes No Carlos Quintanilla 0% Yes No Resolved Another critical Cloudflare incident by…? April 30 100% Yes No May 31 100% Yes No Resolved UK Cabinet Minister resigns by…? June 30 100% Yes No May 31 100% Yes No Resolved Don Lemon charges dropped? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by…? June 30 100% Yes No May 15 100% Yes No Resolved Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair? Lisa Murkowski 100% Yes No Kevin Cramer 100% Yes No Resolved U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by…? June 30 88% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee? 54 100% Yes No 55 0% Yes No Resolved US forces enter Iran by..? December 31 100% Yes No April 30 100% Yes No Resolved Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by…? April 15 100% Yes No March 31 100% Yes No Resolved Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia) Juan Pablo Velasco 100% Yes No Juan Carlos Medrano 0% Yes No Resolved Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner TVK 100% Yes No AITC 0% Yes No Resolved Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner INC 100% Yes No BSP 0% Yes No Resolved Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Tulsi Gabbard out by…? June 30 19% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved IA-02 Republican Primary Winner Joe Mitchell 100% Yes No Charlie McClintock 2% Yes No Resolved TX-30 Republican Primary Winner Everett Jackson 100% Yes No Sholdon Daniels 0% Yes No Resolved U.S. strike on Nigeria by…? June 30 99% Yes No December 31 0% Yes No Resolved Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by…? May 31 100% Yes No June 30 100% Yes No Resolved Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? 100% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 47 48 49 50 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on