Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $470 Volume ↑ 41.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 91¢ Buy No · 9¢ 91% Yes chance Yes 91% No 9% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 2 – April 4, 2026? 90-114 100% Yes No 140-164 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets March 30 – April 1, 2026? 90-114 100% Yes No 140-164 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets March 31 – April 7, 2026? 260-279 100% Yes No 300-319 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 – April 7, 2026? 80-99 100% Yes No 200+ 0% Yes No Resolved White House # posts March 31 – April 7, 2026? 200+ 100% Yes No <20 0% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say in April? Discombobulator / Discombobulated 100% Yes No Jesus 100% Yes No Resolved US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30? United States 100% Yes No United Kingdom 0% Yes No Resolved Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Gulf State military action against Iran by…? April 30 0% Yes No April 15 0% Yes No Resolved Military action against Iran ends by…? April 9 100% Yes No April 10 100% Yes No Resolved Military action against Iran ends on…? April 9 100% Yes No April 10 0% Yes No Resolved Trump approval rating on April 3? 39.0–39.4 100% Yes No 40.0–40.4 0% Yes No Resolved US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? 100% chance Yes No Resolved What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? Mr. Speaker 10+ times 100% Yes No Mr. Speaker 20+ times 100% Yes No Resolved Trump out as President by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved When will the DHS shutdown end? April 29-30 100% Yes No After April 30 0% Yes No Resolved Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? Pakistan 100% Yes No Oman 0% Yes No Resolved Will Vance visit the Middle East by..? April 10 0% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by…? April 30 99% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No Resolved JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by…? April 30 100% Yes No April 11 100% Yes No Resolved U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by…? April 30 0% Yes No April 15 0% Yes No Resolved Who will Trump talk to in April? Mohammed bin Salman 100% Yes No Vladimir Putin 100% Yes No Resolved U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by…? April 30 100% Yes No April 15 0% Yes No Resolved Iran military action against a Gulf State on…? April 1 100% Yes No April 3 100% Yes No Resolved Hezbollah military action against Israel on…? April 6 100% Yes No April 4 100% Yes No Resolved Iran successfully targets shipping on…? April 1 100% Yes No April 7 100% Yes No Resolved Iran military action against ___ by April 30? Israel 100% Yes No Jordan 100% Yes No Resolved Israel military action against Beirut on…? April 1 100% Yes No April 5 100% Yes No Resolved Iran military action against Israel on…? April 1 100% Yes No April 2 100% Yes No Resolved Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3? 0-10 100% Yes No 10-20 0% Yes No Resolved Israel military action against Lebanon on…? April 2 100% Yes No April 4 100% Yes No Previous 1 … 44 45 46 47 48 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
