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Politics

Market of the Day

Ted Cruz # posts May 29 – June 5, 2026?

$2.1k Volume ↑ 45.5% today
100-119 95% Yes No
120-139 2% Yes No
180-199 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
100-119 95%
120-139 2%
180-199 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

CA-34 Primary Winners

Jimmy Gomez 100%
Angela Gonzales-Torres 99%
Resolved

CA-41 Primary Winners

Linda Sánchez 100%
Mitch Clemmons 95%
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CA-48 Primary Winners

Jim Desmond 100%
Marni von Wilpert 95%
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MT-01 Republican Primary Winner

Aaron Flint 100%
Ray Curtis 0%
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NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 100%
Brian Varela 0%
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CA-03 Primary Winners

Ami Bera 100%
Robb Tucker 100%
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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Iván Cepeda Castro 100%
Abelardo de la Espriella 1%
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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 24 – May 1, 2026?

60-79 100%
80-99 0%
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Zelenskyy # posts April 24 – May 1, 2026?

60-79 100%
80-99 0%
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Khamenei # posts April 24 – May 1, 2026?

<5 100%
15-19 0%
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NYC Mayor # posts April 24 – May 1, 2026?

20-39 100%
40-59 0%
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White House # posts April 24 – May 1, 2026?

180-199 100%
60-79 0%
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Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

100% chance
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Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

0% chance
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Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

100% chance
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Zelenskyy # posts April 21 – April 28, 2026?

80-99 100%
60-79 0%
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Number of TSA passengers April 20 – April 26?

17-17.5m 100%
<16.5m 0%
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Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Zoë Garbett 100%
Vahid Almasi 0%
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When will the DHS shutdown end?

April 27-May 3 100%
July 20-26 0%
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Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

David Roth 100%
Nickolas Bonds 0%
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Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?

0% chance
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When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22 98%
May 23–29 2%
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Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by…?

May 31 0%
April 30 0%
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Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?

0% chance
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2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

1800+ 0%
2000+ 0%
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2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

500+ 100%
600+ 0%
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2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

300+ 100%
400+ 100%
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Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

0% chance
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Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

0% chance
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Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?

0% chance
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Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

0% chance
Resolved

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

American / America 15+ times 100%
Mother / Mama 100%
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Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

0% chance