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Politics

Market of the Day

Ted Cruz # posts May 29 – June 5, 2026?

$2.1k Volume ↑ 45.5% today
100-119 95% Yes No
120-139 2% Yes No
180-199 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
100-119 95%
120-139 2%
180-199 1%
+8 more
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Resolved

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?

91% chance
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How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

38.5% 100%
38.0% 0%
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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

25-49 100%
<25 0%
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Will Trump visit China on…?

May 13 100%
May 15 0%
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What will Trump say in May?

Pope 100%
Bunker 100%
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Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

0% chance
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Elon Musk # tweets April 30 – May 2, 2026?

40-64 100%
65-89 0%
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Elon Musk # tweets April 27 – April 29, 2026?

40-64 100%
65-89 0%
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Elon Musk # tweets April 28 – May 5, 2026?

140-159 100%
160-179 0%
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Zelenskyy # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

80-99 100%
200+ 0%
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CZ # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

20-39 100%
160-179 0%
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NYC Mayor # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

20-39 100%
40-59 0%
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Ted Cruz # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

160-179 100%
140-159 0%
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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

100-119 100%
120-139 0%
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Khamenei # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

<5 100%
35-39 0%
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White House # posts April 28 – May 5, 2026?

160-179 100%
180-199 0%
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What will Trump say this week? (May 3)

Make America Great Again 100%
Jerome Too Late 100%
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What will Trump post this week? (April 27 – May 3)

Midterm 100%
Hoax / Scam 100%
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Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

100% chance
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Major US official out by April 30?

0% chance
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Trump approval rating on May 1?

39.0–39.4 100%
<38.0 0%
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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

1% chance
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Next First Minister of Wales?

Rhun ap Iorwerth 100%
Darren Millar 0%
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Next First Minister of Scotland?

John Swinney 99%
Malcolm Offord 1%
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Jeonnam–Gwangju Mayoral Election Winner

Min Hyung-bae 99%
Lee Jung-hyun 1%
Resolved

Daejeon Mayoral Election Winner

Huh Tae-jung 100%
Lee Jang-woo 0%
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Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner

Kim Sang-wook 99%
Kim Doo-kyum 0%
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Sejong Mayoral Election Winner

Cho Sangho 99%
Choi Min-ho 1%
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Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

Choo Kyung-ho 100%
Kim Boo-kyum 0%
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What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

President 55+ times 100%
Democrat 5+ times 100%
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Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Barack Obama 100%
Candace Owens 100%
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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ 100%
War 100%
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CA-13 Primary Winners

Adam Gray 100%
Kevin Lincoln II 99%