Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Ted Cruz # posts May 29 – June 5, 2026? $2.4k Volume ↑ 45.5% today View Market 100-119 94% Yes No 120-139 2% Yes No 180-199 1% Yes No +8 more 94% Leading 100-119 94% 120-139 2% 180-199 1% +8 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 – 9) May 4 100% Yes No May 9 100% Yes No Resolved Will Trump sign an executive order on…? May 1 100% Yes No May 19 100% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump tie color on May 10? Other 100% Yes No Blue 0% Yes No Resolved Will Trump publicly insult someone on…? May 8 100% Yes No May 10 100% Yes No Resolved Fed Decision in September? No change 82% Yes No 25 bps decrease 21% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say during remarks at The Villages? Joe / Biden 20+ times 100% Yes No Percent 20+ times 100% Yes No Resolved What animals will Trump say in May? Dog 100% Yes No Bird 100% Yes No Resolved Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 20+ 0% Yes No 40+ 0% Yes No Resolved Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31? Oil Sanction Relief 0% Yes No Unfreeze Iranian Assets 0% Yes No Resolved Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Comey insult Trump by Friday? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will James Comey leave the country by May 15? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday? 0% chance Yes No Resolved James Comey mugshot released by May 5? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Comey smile in his mugshot? 1% chance Yes No Resolved What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May? Trump Derangement Syndrome 100% Yes No TrumpRX / TrumpRX Dot Gov 100% Yes No Resolved James Comey charges dropped by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved James Comey arrested by…? April 30 100% Yes No April 29 100% Yes No Resolved Will Trump dance on…? May 22 100% Yes No May 5 100% Yes No Resolved Ted Cruz # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 180-199 100% Yes No 200+ 0% Yes No Resolved NYC Mayor # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 20-39 100% Yes No 60-79 0% Yes No Resolved CZ # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 20-39 100% Yes No 40-59 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 1 – May 8, 2026? 160-179 100% Yes No 500+ 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 160-179 100% Yes No 140-159 0% Yes No Resolved Zelenskyy # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 100-119 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved Khamenei # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 5-9 100% Yes No 15-19 0% Yes No Resolved White House # posts May 1 – May 8, 2026? 140-159 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved Will Elon Musk testify against Altman? 99% chance Yes No Resolved Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Trump out as President by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 40 41 42 43 44 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
