Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $484 Volume ↑ 48% today View Market Buy Yes · 97¢ Buy No · 3¢ 97% Yes chance Yes 97% No 3% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved What will Trump post this week? (May 11 – May 17) Trust 100% Yes No AG / Attorney General 100% Yes No Resolved White House # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 180-199 100% Yes No 200+ 0% Yes No Resolved Zelenskyy # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 80-99 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved CZ # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 20-39 100% Yes No 200+ 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 200+ 100% Yes No 120-139 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 12 – May 19, 2026? 220-239 100% Yes No 240-259 0% Yes No Resolved Khamenei # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? <5 100% Yes No 10-14 0% Yes No Resolved Ted Cruz # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 100-119 100% Yes No 180-199 0% Yes No Resolved NYC Mayor # posts May 12 – May 19, 2026? 20-39 100% Yes No 100-119 0% Yes No Resolved Trump approval rating on May 15? 38.5–38.9 100% Yes No 39.0–39.4 0% Yes No Resolved Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 11 – 16) May 14 100% Yes No May 13 100% Yes No Resolved How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11? 40-59 92% Yes No 20-39 2% Yes No Resolved Trump declassifies new UFO files by…? May 31 100% Yes No December 31 100% Yes No Resolved Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Trump insult MBS by May 15? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 9 – May 11, 2026? <40 100% Yes No 40-64 0% Yes No Resolved Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? United States 100% Yes No France 0% Yes No Resolved US x China tariff agreement by May 31? 1% chance Yes No Resolved US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? 0% chance Yes No Resolved 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place Labour 100% Yes No Reform 0% Yes No Resolved What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 8) AI 35+ times 100% Yes No Anthropic 10+ times 100% Yes No Resolved Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 8 – May 15, 2026? 140-159 100% Yes No 260-279 0% Yes No Resolved White House # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? 200+ 100% Yes No <20 0% Yes No Resolved NYC Mayor # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? 20-39 100% Yes No 80-99 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? 180-199 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved Ted Cruz # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? 100-119 100% Yes No 120-139 0% Yes No Resolved CZ # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? <20 100% Yes No 20-39 0% Yes No Resolved Zelenskyy # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? 80-99 100% Yes No 100-119 0% Yes No Resolved Khamenei # posts May 8 – May 15, 2026? <5 100% Yes No 5-9 0% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? Peng 100% Yes No Ship / Chip 100% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 7 – May 9, 2026? <40 100% Yes No 90-114 0% Yes No Resolved Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31? 2% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 38 39 40 41 42 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
