Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $484 Volume ↑ 48% today View Market Buy Yes · 97¢ Buy No · 3¢ 97% Yes chance Yes 97% No 3% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 16 – May 18, 2026? 65-89 100% Yes No 90-114 0% Yes No Resolved 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner Lee Cheol-woo 100% Yes No Oh Joong-ki 0% Yes No Resolved 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election Winner Wi Seong-gon 100% Yes No Moon Sung-yu 0% Yes No Resolved How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win? 12 99% Yes No ≤10 1% Yes No Resolved Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by…? May 31 100% Yes No May 19 100% Yes No Resolved Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by…? May 31 100% Yes No May 15 100% Yes No Resolved Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by…? May 17 100% Yes No May 16 100% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say during China State Banquet? World War II 100% Yes No Paper 100% Yes No Resolved Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory Labour Party 5-10% 100% Yes No Labour Party 25%+ 0% Yes No Resolved What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing? President 30+ times 100% Yes No Administration 10+ times 100% Yes No Resolved 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner Park Wan-soo 99% Yes No Kim Kyung-soo 0% Yes No Resolved 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner Lee Won-taek 100% Yes No Kim Kwan-young 0% Yes No Resolved Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22? Boeing Aircraft Purchase 100% Yes No U.S. Soybean Purchase 4% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 15 – May 22, 2026? 220-239 34% Yes No 240-259 33% Yes No Resolved Ted Cruz # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? 120-139 50% Yes No 100-119 29% Yes No Resolved White House # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? 160-179 60% Yes No 180-199 29% Yes No Resolved NYC Mayor # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? 40-59 61% Yes No 20-39 39% Yes No Resolved Khamenei # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? <5 91% Yes No 5-9 10% Yes No Resolved Zelenskyy # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? 60-79 51% Yes No 40-59 39% Yes No Resolved CZ # posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? <20 59% Yes No 20-39 35% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 – May 22, 2026? 200+ 100% Yes No 80-99 0% Yes No Resolved US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Trump Insult Xi this week? 0% chance Yes No Resolved When will Trump leave China? May 15 100% Yes No May 16 0% Yes No Resolved Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General? Todd Blanche 100% Yes No Ted Cruz 0% Yes No Resolved Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 14 – May 16, 2026? 65-89 100% Yes No 90-114 0% Yes No Resolved Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22? Taiwan Arms Sales Halt 100% Yes No U.S.-China AI Safety Channel 100% Yes No Resolved Who will attend Trump's Xi summit? Marco Rubio 100% Yes No Any of Trump’s sons 100% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say this week? (May 17) Eight War / Eighth War 100% Yes No Regime change 100% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets May 11 – May 13, 2026? 40-64 100% Yes No 65-89 0% Yes No Previous 1 … 37 38 39 40 41 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
