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Politics

Market of the Day

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 – June 13, 2026?

$475k Volume ↑ 38% today
65-89 82% Yes No
40-64 16% Yes No
90-114 4% Yes No
+7 more
82% Leading
65-89 82%
40-64 16%
90-114 4%
+7 more
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Israeli parliament dissolved by…?

July 31 69%
June 30 18%

Who will Bernie endorse?

James Talarico – TX-Sen 85%
Dan Osborn – NE-Sen 45%

Who will Trump endorse?

Ken Paxton – TX-Sen 100%
Susan Collins – ME-Sen 100%

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 69%
Haley Stevens 23%

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 83%
Flavio Bolsonaro 69%

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

1% chance

NATO x Russia military clash by…?

December 31 15%
June 30 3%

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by…?

December 31 9%
June 30 1%

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by…?

June 30 3%
October 31 0%

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Republican 92%
Democrat 8%

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

Republican 94%
Democrat 5%

Connecticut Governor Election Winner

Democrat 92%
Republican 7%

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Democrat 58%
Republican 43%

Hawaii Governor Election Winner

Democrat 92%
Republican 7%

Idaho Governor Election Winner

Republican 94%
Democrat 3%

Illinois Governor Election Winner

Democrat 92%
Republican 8%

Maine Governor Election Winner

Democrat 89%
Republican 12%

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Democrat 83%
Republican 14%
Resolved

What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on June 11?

Job 2+ times 100%
Football 100%
Resolved

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by…?

July 31 80%
June 30 19%
Resolved

Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

100% chance
Resolved

What will Trump say during Tele-Rally on June 8?

South Carolina 7+ times 100%
Iran 100%
Resolved

Any departure from Tehran (IKA) by…?

June 9 100%
June 11 100%
Resolved

Elon Musk # tweets June 8 – June 10, 2026?

40-64 100%
65-89 0%
Resolved

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times 100%
Mr. Speaker 20+ times 100%
Resolved

Elon Musk # tweets June 6 – June 8, 2026?

40-64 100%
240+ 0%
Resolved

What will Trump say during Coal Announcement?

Coal 5+ times 100%
Beautiful 5+ times 100%
Resolved

What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times 100%
Job 20+ times 100%
Resolved

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

100% chance
Resolved

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

NHS 100%
Investment 100%
Resolved

What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing?

Health / Healthcare 100%
Pink 100%
Resolved

Elon Musk # tweets June 5 – June 12, 2026?

220-239 100%
320-339 0%
Resolved

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 5 – June 12, 2026?

100-119 99%
200+ 0%