Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day LA-05 Republican Primary Winner $0 Volume ↑ 36% today View Market Watch Austin Magee 50% Yes No Michael Mebruer 50% Yes No Blake Miguez 15% Yes No +4 more 50% Leading Austin Magee 50% Michael M… 50% Blake Miguez 15% +4 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? 4% chance Yes No Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…? December 31 10% Yes No September 30 5% Yes No Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? 12% chance Yes No CA-22 House Election Winner Democratic Party 78% Yes No Republican Party 21% Yes No Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? 11% chance Yes No Moving Now CA-27 House Election Winner Democratic Party 76% Yes No Republican Party 17% Yes No Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? 21% chance Yes No NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez 83% Yes No Antonio Reynoso 17% Yes No NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner Brad Lander 99% Yes No Dan Goldman 1% Yes No Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? 12% chance Yes No NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres 98% Yes No Michael Blake 2% Yes No Peak US National Debt before 2027? $39 trillion 100% Yes No $40 trillion 95% Yes No Moving Now NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley 90% Yes No Beth Davidson 10% Yes No Iran nuclear test before 2027? 7% chance Yes No Moving Now ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matthew Dunlap 100% Yes No Joe Baldacci 2% Yes No Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? 12% chance Yes No US defaults on debt by 2027? 4% chance Yes No Moving Now US congress stock trading ban before 2027? 16% chance Yes No Another US debt downgrade before 2027? 22% chance Yes No Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? 12% chance Yes No How many people will Trump deport in 2026? 400-500k 46% Yes No 300-400k 22% Yes No Who will Trump meet with in 2026? Maria Corina Machado 100% Yes No Volodymyr Zelenskyy 100% Yes No Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? Pam Bondi 100% Yes No Tulsi Gabbard 100% Yes No Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? India 26% Yes No Mexico 26% Yes No Trump out as President before 2027? 10% chance Yes No Will Trump resign before 2027? 2% chance Yes No Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? No meeting before 2027 80% Yes No US 4% Yes No Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? 6% chance Yes No OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? 3% chance Yes No Moving Now New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican 84% Yes No Democrat 23% Yes No New York Governor Election Winner Democrat 88% Yes No Republican 12% Yes No Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican 53% Yes No Democrat 43% Yes No Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 33 34 35 36 37 … 57 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on