Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day PA-17 House Election Winner $0 Volume ↑ 39% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 87¢ Buy No · 13¢ 87% Yes chance Yes 87% No 13% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon US takes Panama Canal before 2027? 13% chance Yes No U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by…? December 31, 2026 23% Yes No June 30, 2026 1% Yes No Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? 33% chance Yes No Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? 87% chance Yes No Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Benjamin Netanyahu 39% Yes No Gadi Eizenkot 38% Yes No Sudan civil war ceasefire by…? December 31, 2026 26% Yes No June 30, 2026 3% Yes No Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? 90% chance Yes No Moving Now Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? 60% chance Yes No China x Japan military clash before 2027? 9% chance Yes No Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? 28% chance Yes No Who will Trump pardon before 2027? Matt Gaetz 46% Yes No Donald Brodie 43% Yes No Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by…? December 31, 2026 5% Yes No June 30, 2026 1% Yes No Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by…? December 31, 2026 17% Yes No December 31, 2025 0% Yes No Epstein client list released by…? June 30 1% Yes No December 31 0% Yes No Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? 3% chance Yes No What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No ↑ 4.25% 23% Yes No Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? 8% chance Yes No Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? Rahm Emanuel 25% Yes No Kamala Harris 22% Yes No Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 10% chance Yes No 🔒 5 whale wallets active on this market · real-time with VIP Upgrade → Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30? Lebanon 2% Yes No Venezuela 2% Yes No Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by…? December 31 21% Yes No June 30 1% Yes No Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? 16% chance Yes No Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? 1% chance Yes No Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? 29% chance Yes No US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? 24% chance Yes No Will Trump be impeached by June 30? 0% chance Yes No Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay 16% chance Yes No Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? 14% chance Yes No Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? 29% chance Yes No NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher 64% Yes No Alex Bores 38% Yes No Will Hezbollah disarm by…? December 31 13% Yes No March 31 0% Yes No NATO article 5 before 2027? 8% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 31 32 33 34 35 … 57 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on