Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day PA-17 House Election Winner $0 Volume ↑ 39% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 87¢ Buy No · 13¢ 87% Yes chance Yes 87% No 13% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon China coup attempt before 2027? 4% chance Yes No Modi out by December 31, 2026? 7% chance Yes No Oregon Senate Election Winner Democrat 94% Yes No Republican 7% Yes No Iran Nuke before 2027? 7% chance Yes No Rhode Island Senate Election Winner Democrat 93% Yes No Republican 6% Yes No US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? 16% chance Yes No China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? 8% chance Yes No Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R) 57% Yes No James Talarico (D) 44% Yes No China x Philippines military clash before 2027? 23% chance Yes No Virginia Senate Election Winner Democrat 93% Yes No Republican 6% Yes No West Virginia Senate Election Winner Republican 95% Yes No Democrat 4% Yes No Wyoming Senate Election Winner Republican 95% Yes No Democrat 5% Yes No Oklahoma Senate Election Winner Republican 93% Yes No Democrat 8% Yes No Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D) 55% Yes No Jon Husted (R) 45% Yes No How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? 4 53% Yes No 5 27% Yes No How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? 8 37% Yes No 9 29% Yes No Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? 9% chance Yes No Next French Presidential Election Jordan Bardella 26% Yes No Édouard Philippe 20% Yes No Lecornu out as French PM by…? December 31, 2026 40% Yes No June 30, 2026 0% Yes No Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican 59% Yes No Independent 39% Yes No Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola 62% Yes No Dan Sullivan 39% Yes No Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich 31% Yes No Bernadette Wilson 24% Yes No Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? VVD + CDA + D66 100% Yes No PVV + JA21 0% Yes No Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? 1% chance Yes No Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner John Hickenlooper 91% Yes No Julie Gonzales 10% Yes No Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 UNRWA 13% Yes No Volodymyr Zelenskyy 11% Yes No Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner Mark Baisley 98% Yes No Janak Joshi 2% Yes No Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by…? June 30, 2026 100% Yes No March 31, 2026 100% Yes No Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? 26% chance Yes No Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by…? June 30, 2026 5% Yes No December 31, 2025 0% Yes No How high will inflation get in 2026? Above 4% 100% Yes No Above 3% 100% Yes No Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? 15% chance Yes No Moving Now Will a new country buy Bitcoin by…? December 31, 2026 47% Yes No June 30, 2026 12% Yes No Previous 1 … 30 31 32 33 34 … 57 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on