Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Trump approval Up or Down this week? $470 Volume ↑ 41.5% today View Market Buy Yes · 91¢ Buy No · 9¢ 91% Yes chance Yes 91% No 9% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Resolved Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 10 – April 17, 2026? 300-319 100% Yes No 360-379 0% Yes No Resolved Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 9 – April 11, 2026? 65-89 100% Yes No 140-164 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 6 – April 8, 2026? 65-89 100% Yes No 90-114 0% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 7 – April 14, 2026? 280-299 100% Yes No 300-319 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 – April 14, 2026? 120-139 100% Yes No 140-159 0% Yes No Resolved Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved What will Trump say this week? (April 12) Make America Great Again 100% Yes No Epic Fury 100% Yes No Resolved What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán? Hungary / Hungarian 8+ times 100% Yes No Russia / Ukraine 6+ times 100% Yes No Resolved Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12? 4-7 100% Yes No 20+ 0% Yes No Resolved University—Rosedale By-Election Winner Danielle Martin 100% Yes No Imran Khan 0% Yes No Resolved Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30? Todd Blanche 100% Yes No Lee Zeldin 0% Yes No Resolved Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April? ↑4.35% 100% Yes No ↑4.40% 100% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 4 – April 6, 2026? 65-89 100% Yes No 90-114 0% Yes No Resolved QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? 0% chance Yes No Resolved What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1? God 3+ times 100% Yes No Objective / Goal 3+ times 100% Yes No Resolved What Trump-named things will Trump mention in April? Gulf of Trump 100% Yes No Trump Account 100% Yes No Resolved Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Crude Oil all time high by April 30? 0% chance Yes No Resolved Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% chance Yes No Resolved Will gas hit __ by end of April? ↑ $4.15 100% Yes No ↑ $4.25 100% Yes No Resolved What will Trump say during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6? Farmer 100% Yes No Movie star 100% Yes No Resolved Elon Musk # tweets April 3 – April 10, 2026? 240-259 100% Yes No 560-579 0% Yes No Resolved White House # posts April 3 – April 10, 2026? 140-159 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 3 – April 10, 2026? 100-119 100% Yes No 160-179 0% Yes No Resolved NYC: Mayor’s Municipal Madness Winner Clean up illegal dumping (Soundview) 76% Yes No Resurface a basketball court (Morrisania) 0% Yes No Resolved How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5) 45+ 100% Yes No <10 0% Yes No Resolved Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? 0% chance Yes No Previous 1 … 43 44 45 46 47 … 51 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
