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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

January 2 10:00 PM (Final)
NBCS Chase Center
Oklahoma City Thunder
 131 94
Golden State Warriors
See Full Schedule

MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Thunder and Warriors have built a competitive history, especially during the playoff runs that defined the mid-2010s. Both teams showcase contrasting styles; the Thunder often lean on a strong, athletic attack while the Warriors are known for their perimeter shooting and ball movement. Historically, the Warriors have had the edge in head-to-head matchups, particularly at home where their fast-paced game thrives in the familiar confines of the Chase Center. Travel distance plays a role too, as the Thunder face a long trip from Oklahoma City, which can impact their performance. Given these dynamics, betting trends suggest a lean toward the Warriors, especially when they play at home, capitalizing on their established strengths and the Thunder’s challenges in this matchup.
POST-GAME GET EDGE PICKS
Oklahoma City Thunder
sportsbook icon
-13.5
Golden State Warriors
sportsbook icon
+14.0
Final Score
131
–
94
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Oklahoma City Thunder
sportsbook icon
-13.5
Golden State Warriors
sportsbook icon
+14.0
Final Score
131
–
94
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Oklahoma City Thunder
sportsbook icon
-13.5
Golden State Warriors
sportsbook icon
+14.0
Final Score
131
–
94
Confidence Level: 73%

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OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS MONEYLINE

When the Thunder and Warriors clash, you see a clear contrast in styles. The Thunder rely on athleticism and isolation plays, while the Warriors thrive on ball movement and perimeter shooting. Historically, Golden State’s home court advantage has been significant, often pushing the money line in their favor, but OKC has shown they can pull off upsets when they play their game and disrupt the Warriors’ rhythm.See Game Picks

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS POINT SPREAD

When the Thunder and Warriors face off, you’re looking at a clash of styles that has evolved over the years. The Warriors, with their fast-paced, perimeter-oriented game, often put pressure on defenses, while the Thunder have leaned on their athleticism and isolation plays. Historically, Golden State has had the upper hand at home, and that familiar court advantage usually shifts the point spread in their favor, especially when they’re on a roll. The Thunder can be tricky on the road, but their tendency to struggle against teams that can stretch the floor has been a consistent theme in their matchups.See Game Picks

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS OVER/UNDER

When the Thunder and Warriors face off, you’re looking at a clash of styles that often impacts the total. Historically, the Warriors’ fast-paced offense and penchant for three-point shooting can push totals higher, especially at home, while the Thunder have leaned on a more balanced approach. The series has seen totals fluctuate, with games in Golden State often trending over, but when the Thunder control the pace, it can bring those numbers down, reflecting their defensive identity.See Game Picks

TRENDS

OKC Logo  OKC GS Logo  GS
59-18
All
34-43
30-8
Home
21-18
29-10
Away
13-25
58-15
as Fav
27-20
1-3
as Dog
7-23
39-37
ATS
32-45
19-19
ATS Home
17-22
20-18
ATS Away
15-23
40-37
O/U
43-33
18-20
O/U Home
23-15
22-17
O/U Away
20-18
RESULT
LOSE 111-103
OPPONENT
Spurs logo SA San Antonio Spurs
DATE
05/30
SPREAD
-3.5
O/U
o211.5
RESULT
LOSE 91-118
OPPONENT
Spurs logo SA San Antonio Spurs
DATE
05/28
SPREAD
+3.0
O/U
u218.5
RESULT
WIN 114-127
OPPONENT
Spurs logo SA San Antonio Spurs
DATE
05/26
SPREAD
-5.5
O/U
o215.5
RESULT
LOSE 82-103
OPPONENT
Spurs logo SA San Antonio Spurs
DATE
05/24
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u219.5
RESULT
WIN 123-108
OPPONENT
Spurs logo SA San Antonio Spurs
DATE
05/22
SPREAD
+1.0
O/U
o215.5
RESULT
LOSE 96-111
OPPONENT
Suns logo PHO Phoenix Suns
DATE
04/17
SPREAD
+2.0
O/U
u218.0
RESULT
WIN 126-121
OPPONENT
Clippers logo LAC Los Angeles Clippers
DATE
04/15
SPREAD
+3.5
O/U
o219.5
RESULT
LOSE 110-115
OPPONENT
Clippers logo LAC Los Angeles Clippers
DATE
04/12
SPREAD
+8.5
O/U
o225.0
RESULT
LOSE 118-124
OPPONENT
Kings logo SAC Sacramento Kings
DATE
04/10
SPREAD
-11.0
O/U
o230.5
RESULT
LOSE 119-103
OPPONENT
Lakers logo LAL Los Angeles Lakers
DATE
04/09
SPREAD
-5.5
O/U
u225.5
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
141-139
DATE
11/03
WHO WON
Thunder logo OKC
RESULT
128-109
DATE
11/16
WHO WON
Thunder logo OKC
RESULT
130-123
DATE
11/18
WHO WON
Thunder logo OKC
RESULT
136-138
DATE
12/08
WHO WON
Warriors logo GS
RESULT
127-116
DATE
11/10

BOX SCORE: NBA TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

OKC Logo OKC GS Logo GS
131.00
Points per Game
94.00
48.40
Field Goal Percentage
46.10
57.20
2-Point Field Goal Percentage
56.50
36.50
3-Point Field Goal Percentage
35.60
81.70
Free Throw Percentage
80.70
9.00
Offensive Rebounds
14.00
42.00
Defensive Rebounds
29.00
34.00
Assists per Game
23.00
5.00
Blocked Shots
5.00
13.00
Turnovers
16.00
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
J. McCain PG
41.20
10.00
1.87
1.00
J. Gortman PG
50.00
9.75
1.75
2.00
P. Sandfort PG
50.00
8.75
2.50
0.00
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG
46.30
30.00
1.00
7.00
A. Wiggins SG
36.00
15.00
3.00
2.00
A. Mitchell PG
46.00
11.00
2.00
6.00
I. Joe SG
41.80
5.00
2.00
4.00
B. Boeheim SG
33.30
1.50
0.00
0.00
C. Wallace PG
47.90
2.00
3.00
1.00
A. Caruso SG
47.80
4.00
1.00
2.00
B. Barnhizer SG
38.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N. Topić PG
33.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
A. Ducas SG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Z. Austin PF
35.30
5.50
2.00
0.00
L. Dort SF
36.60
11.00
3.00
0.00
J. Williams SF
51.80
12.00
6.00
2.00
K. Williams PF
38.70
2.00
3.00
3.00
T. Sorber PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Williams PF
40.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
C. Holmgren C
56.80
15.00
15.00
4.00
B. Carlson C
52.70
15.00
11.00
2.00
I. Hartenstein C
63.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
full roster
STARTERS
FG%
PPG
RPG
APG
P. Spencer SG
50.00
3.00
3.00
11.00
W. Richard SG
0.00
13.00
5.00
1.00
M. Moody SG
0.00
13.00
2.00
0.00
B. Podziemski SG
50.00
12.00
4.00
4.00
G. Payton II PG
50.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
T. Kinsey SG
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
L. Cryer PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
S. Curry SG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
S. Curry PG
41.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
D. Melton SG
47.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
T. Armstrong PG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Robinson SG
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
G. Santos SF
61.90
9.00
8.00
0.00
U. Garuba PF
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
J. Butler III SF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
D. Green PF
55.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
M. Leons PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N. Williams SF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
A. Toohey PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
J. Rowe PF
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
K. Porzingis C
64.70
15.50
3.00
2.50
Q. Post C
0.00
11.00
3.00
2.00
A. Horford C
50.00
13.00
6.00
0.00
M. Bolden C
42.90
4.50
2.00
0.00
C. Bassey C
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
�. Yurtseven C
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
Moses Moody
POS
SG
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Moody is recovery from a torn patellar tendon in his left knee and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27
Jimmy Butler III
POS
SF
STATUS
Out
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Butler III is recovering from a torn ACL and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season.
Alex Toohey
POS
PF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Toohey is managing a left knee injury and is uncertain to take the court for the Warriors.
full roster and injuries

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