The Seattle Mariners visit PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 23rd, 2026 at 6:40 pm. Seattle comes in with a record of 40-39, while Pittsburgh sits at 39-39. Check out the current betting odds with the Mariners at -115 on the moneyline, the Pirates at +104, and an over-under set at 8.5. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this matchup. Key players to watch include Randy Arozarena for the Mariners, who has a .291 batting average and 7 home runs, and Nick Gonzales for the Pirates, hitting .293 with 3 home runs. J.P. Crawford is questionable for Seattle due to a sore right triceps, which could impact their lineup. Ryan O’Hearn is out for Pittsburgh with a quad injury. In their recent matchup history, the Mariners have won the last three meetings against the Pirates, making this an intriguing game to analyze.
After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 52%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 48%
The Mariners and Pirates have faced off in a series that highlights contrasting styles: Seattle’s focus on power and pitching depth against Pittsburgh’s knack for scrappy, small-ball tactics. Historically, the Mariners have had the edge in head-to-head matchups, often exploiting their ability to hit for power in PNC Park’s favorable conditions. When betting on this matchup, consider the Mariners’ consistent offensive approach and the Pirates’ challenges against right-handed pitching, which could influence line movements.
Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Mariners 5-4 Pirates with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.
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When the Mariners face off against the Pirates, you’re looking at two teams with distinct identities. Seattle often relies on a strong pitching staff and a knack for timely hitting, while Pittsburgh tends to focus on speed and defense, especially at home in PNC Park, which can skew the dynamics. Historically, the moneyline has favored the Mariners when they’re on the road, but the Pirates’ home field advantage can shift that narrative, especially in tight matchups.
The Mariners face the Pirates in a matchup where Seattle holds a slight edge in the current moneyline odds. With both teams hovering around .500, the absence of J.P. Crawford for the Mariners could impact their lineup, while Pittsburgh looks to capitalize on home field with Nick Gonzales leading the charge. Bettors should consider these factors when weighing their options on the moneyline.
The Seattle Mariners, with a slightly better record, could find it challenging to cover the run line against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. With key player J.P. Crawford’s status uncertain, the Mariners may struggle to generate enough offense, while the Pirates could leverage their home advantage to keep the game close.
The Mariners and Pirates have shown a tendency to score around 8.5 runs per game in their recent matchups, highlighting their offensive capabilities. However, with J.P. Crawford’s status uncertain for Seattle and Pittsburgh’s pitching depth potentially impacting run production, the total could swing in either direction. Keep an eye on how these factors play out as they could influence the final score.
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