The Chicago Cubs visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on June 22nd, 2026, at 7:10 pm. The Cubs hold a record of 40-37, while the Mets sit at 34-42. With the current moneyline set at Cubs -115 and Mets -106, bettors should check out The Edge AI sports betting tool for the best bets. Key players to watch include Pete Crow-Armstrong for the Cubs, who boasts a .286 batting average with 16 home runs and 40 RBIs, and Juan Soto for the Mets, hitting .301 with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Both players are crucial to their team’s offensive success. Neither team has reported significant injuries that could impact the game. In their recent matchup history, the Cubs have won all three encounters this season, potentially giving them a psychological edge heading into this game.
After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 51%, while the Mets have a win probability of 49%
The Cubs and Mets have a long-standing rivalry, with the Cubs often showcasing their power-hitting style against the Mets’ strong pitching. Historically, the Cubs have had the edge in head-to-head matchups, particularly when playing at Wrigley Field. For bettors, consider the Cubs’ tendency to perform well in New York, while the Mets’ home advantage can be significant, especially in tight contests.
Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Cubs 5-4 Mets with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.
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When the Cubs and Mets square off, you’re looking at two teams with distinct identities. The Cubs often bring that power-hitting style, relying on big swings, while the Mets typically focus on pitching and speed on the bases. Historically, the Mets have had the upper hand at home, but the Cubs’ ability to hit the long ball can flip the script in any matchup, making the money line shifts interesting to watch over the years.
The Cubs, sitting at 40-37, look to leverage their recent success against the Mets, who are struggling at 34-42. With both teams showing similar win probabilities, this matchup could sway in favor of the Cubs given their past victories over New York, making the moneyline worth considering for bettors.
The Chicago Cubs, with a 40-37 record, face the New York Mets at Citi Field. While the Cubs have shown some success in recent matchups, the Mets, averaging 4.5 runs at home, could keep this game close enough to challenge the run line. Starting pitchers and recent form will likely play a crucial role in determining how this one shapes up.
When the Cubs and Mets face off, you’re looking at a classic clash of styles. The Cubs have historically leaned on power hitting, which can push totals up, especially at Wrigley where the wind can turn a routine fly ball into a home run. The Mets, on the other hand, often bring solid pitching to the table, particularly in their home games at Citi Field, which tends to favor the under. Over time, this matchup has seen a bit of a tug-of-war between offensive outbursts and strong pitching performances, leading to fluctuating totals that reflect each team’s identity and ballpark quirks. Historically, the head-to-head stats show a mix of overs and unders, but keep an eye on how the series record plays into the totals as familiarity can breed both offensive fireworks and tight pitching duels.
The Cubs and Mets have averaged 8.5 runs in their recent matchups, indicating solid offensive potential. However, the performance of both teams’ starting pitchers and their ability to limit runs could significantly impact the total score in this game. Keeping an eye on bullpen effectiveness and any potential weather factors will also be crucial for determining if the total hits the mark.
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