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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Predictions

June 22 07:40 PM (Start in 14 Hours)
CHSN Rate Field

Guardians vs. White Sox Matchup Overview

The Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on June 22nd, 2026, for a matchup featuring two closely matched teams. The Guardians hold a record of 41-36 while the White Sox sit at 39-36. Check out the latest betting odds, with the Guardians at -115 on the moneyline and the White Sox at -103. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this game. Key players to watch include Guardians’ Brayan Rocchio, who has a .269 batting average and 5 home runs, and José Ramírez, contributing with 10 home runs and a .757 OPS. For the White Sox, Sam Antonacci leads with a .293 average and an impressive .818 OPS. Both teams are healthy, with no significant injuries reported. In their recent matchups, the Guardians have had the upper hand, winning three of the last three encounters against the White Sox. This game could be a pivotal moment as both teams look to gain traction in the standings.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
  • Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM
  • Venue: Rate Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Guardians — (—) (-1.5 (+140 BetMGM Sportsbook)), White Sox — (—) (+1.5 (-170 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.0 (-110/-110) (Over 7.5 (-124 BetMGM Sportsbook), Under 7.5 (+102 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Guardians -115 (-120 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), White Sox -103 (+102 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Guardians a win probability of 51%, while the White Sox have a win probability of 49%

The Guardians and White Sox have a long-standing rivalry marked by tight games and strategic battles. Historically, the Guardians’ pitching depth often challenges the White Sox’s power-hitting approach, while Chicago’s home field advantage at Guaranteed Rate Field can sway outcomes. Betting trends suggest that the Guardians’ strong head-to-head record may influence the odds, especially in close matchups.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Guardians 4-3 White Sox with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
51%
49%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Over/Under
51%
49%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
51%
49%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

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When the Guardians and White Sox face off, it’s a clash of styles. Cleveland typically leans on solid pitching and speed on the bases, while Chicago often relies on a powerful lineup that can take advantage of any mistakes. Historically, the White Sox have had the edge at home, but the Guardians have shown they can disrupt that narrative, especially if they exploit the gaps in the outfield at Guaranteed Rate Field. Keep an eye on how the moneyline shifts; it often reflects the public’s faith in the White Sox’s offense, but the Guardians have a knack for pulling off surprises in this rivalry.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Moneyline

The Guardians and White Sox are closely matched based on their current records and moneyline odds. With the Guardians sitting at -115 and the White Sox at -103, this game could swing either way, especially considering each team’s key players like Brayan Rocchio for Cleveland and Sam Antonacci for Chicago. Bettors should keep an eye on how the starting pitchers perform, as that could tip the scales in this tight matchup.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Run Line

The Cleveland Guardians, with a slight edge in their road run line record, may find opportunities against the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. Both teams have shown potential to score, but factors like starting pitching and recent form could impact whether they cover the spread. Keep an eye on how the line moves as game time approaches.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Over/Under

The Guardians and White Sox have seen an average of 8.0 runs in their last five matchups, indicating a balanced offensive output. However, the effectiveness of both teams’ starting pitchers could play a significant role in shaping the total runs scored. Keep an eye on how each lineup performs against the opposing pitching staff as this game unfolds.

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41-37
All
39-37
19-17
Home
24-12
22-20
Away
15-25
23-21
as Fav
13-8
18-16
as Dog
26-29
39-39
ATS
38-38
16-20
ATS Home
18-18
23-19
ATS Away
20-20
38-40
O/U
44-30
18-18
O/U Home
20-15
20-22
O/U Away
24-15
RESULT
WIN 5-6
DATE
04/05
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 1-2
DATE
06/21
SPREAD
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 8-1
DATE
06/20
SPREAD
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
LOSE 3-9
DATE
06/19
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
WIN 4-2
DATE
06/18
SPREAD
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
WIN 4-5
DATE
04/03
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 4-5
DATE
06/21
SPREAD
O/U
o8.0
RESULT
LOSE 1-4
DATE
06/20
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
LOSE 3-4
DATE
06/19
SPREAD
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
WIN 5-1
DATE
06/18
SPREAD
O/U
u9.0
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
4-2
DATE
07/11
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
2-3
DATE
09/14
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
1-3
DATE
09/13
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
0-4
DATE
09/12
WHO WON
White Sox logo CHW
RESULT
4-6
DATE
08/10

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.311
On Base Percentage
0.317
0.370
Slugging Percentage
0.410
3.79
Earned Run Average
4.41
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.26
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.34
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.239
10
33
64
0.268
5
33
66
0.206
1
13
50
0.262
7
34
63
0.239
11
33
54
0.238
9
26
50
0.213
6
26
42
0.174
7
26
31
0.273
7
24
47
0.181
2
10
26
0.223
4
9
23
0.260
1
9
26
0.171
0
1
7
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
9-4
3.83
1.14
103
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
9-4
3.83
1.14
103
2-8
4.03
1.18
78
7-3
2.70
1.10
91
3-6
4.48
1.40
66
6-3
4.05
1.40
76
2-0
2.38
1.06
51
1-1
4.22
1.22
35
4-1
1.63
0.80
31
0-2
2.84
1.42
23
1-2
3.80
1.50
17
2-1
2.53
1.03
40
1-1
3.05
1.16
23
0-1
5.63
1.88
6
0-0
13.50
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.271
6
25
75
0.236
16
44
64
0.221
20
45
59
0.234
9
37
50
0.240
20
41
48
0.287
4
19
56
0.289
3
24
55
0.187
2
15
28
0.213
1
10
27
0.260
7
20
27
0.144
5
11
13
0.172
0
3
5
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
6-2
4.61
1.44
55
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
9-3
3.18
1.20
87
4-4
3.89
1.22
81
2-6
4.46
1.39
48
6-2
4.61
1.44
55
0-1
2.58
0.97
44
2-4
5.82
1.35
33
2-0
2.39
1.06
53
3-2
2.27
1.23
31
3-3
3.86
1.25
32
0-0
4.15
1.00
20
2-3
4.63
1.24
20
1-1
6.00
1.50
21
0-1
5.60
2.15
15
0-0
9.00
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster