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Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.5k Volume ↓ 90.5% today
Office Romance 5% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 3% Yes No
The Murder of Rachel Nickell 1% Yes No
+8 more
5% Leading
Office Ro… 5%
Ticket To… 3%
The Murde… 1%
+8 more
Read Article
Moving Now

MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Los Angeles Dodgers 64%
Yes No
Atlanta Braves 61%
Yes No
$110k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Winless Team?

99% chance
Yes No
$45k Vol. Read Article

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

5% chance
Yes No
$2k Vol. Read Article

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

Don Mattingly 50%
Yes No
Alex Cora 22%
Yes No
$321k Vol. Read Article

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

15% chance
Yes No
$151k Vol. Read Article

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$148k Vol. Read Article

FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?

88% chance
Yes No
$13k Vol. Read Article

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

73% chance
Yes No
$148k Vol. Read Article

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

10% chance
Yes No
$91k Vol. Read Article

GPT-5.6 released by…?

July 31 94%
Yes No
June 30 80%
Yes No
$923k Vol. Read Article

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4% chance
Yes No
$34k Vol. Read Article

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$307k Vol. Read Article

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

27% chance
Yes No
$106k Vol. Read Article

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$30k Vol. Read Article

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

Chad Tracy 27%
Yes No
David Ross 10%
Yes No
$4k Vol. Read Article

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

4% chance
Yes No
$29k Vol. Read Article

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

3% chance
Yes No
$146k Vol. Read Article

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Petro – Colombia President 57%
Yes No
Starmer – UK PM 27%
Yes No
$819k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

28% chance
Yes No
$668 Vol. Read Article

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4% chance
Yes No
$3k Vol. Read Article

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 68%
Yes No
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
Yes No
$59k Vol. Read Article

Bahia Governor Election Winner

ACM Neto 53%
Yes No
Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
Yes No
$33k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 76%
Yes No
Elmano de Freitas 5%
Yes No
$74k Vol. Read Article

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL 89%
Yes No
MISSÃO 3%
Yes No
$16k Vol. Read Article

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 83%
Yes No
Kim Kataguiri 12%
Yes No
$76k Vol. Read Article

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 99%
Yes No
Adanech Abiebie 1%
Yes No
$4m Vol. Read Article

Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 85%
Yes No
Google 9%
Yes No
$53k Vol. Read Article

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

37% chance
Yes No
$520 Vol. Read Article

Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026?

7% chance
Yes No
$272 Vol. Read Article

Trump renames ICE to NICE by…?

December 31 15%
Yes No
June 30 3%
Yes No
$176k Vol. Read Article

What will be said during the CS BLAST Rivals Grand Finals?

No Kit 89%
Yes No
Texas 88%
Yes No
$4k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Spain 98%
Yes No
USA 98%
Yes No
$2.4m Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Spain 32%
Yes No
France 26%
Yes No
$655k Vol. Read Article

Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) – European Pro League Regular Playoffs

Odd/Even Total Rounds 100%
Yes No
Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5) 100%
Yes No
$25k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$800M 48%
Yes No
$50M 42%
Yes No
$84k Vol. Read Article

CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT Real Oruro

CA Nacional Potosí 73%
Draw (CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT Real Oruro) 55%
CA Nacional Potosí Draw (CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT Real Oruro)
$3k Vol. Read Article

Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?

68% chance
Yes No
$4k Vol. Read Article

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

54% chance
Yes No
$4k Vol. Read Article

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

9% chance
Yes No
$106k Vol. Read Article
Moving Now

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 48%
Yes No
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 33%
Yes No
$4k Vol. Read Article

Bank of Russia decision in July?

Decrease 82%
Yes No
No Change 16%
Yes No
$2k Vol. Read Article

Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) – DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Match Winner 100%
Yes No
Game 1 Winner 100%
Yes No
$522k Vol. Read Article

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

No Replacement 100%
Yes No
Italy 0%
Yes No
$97k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe 16%
Yes No
Harry Kane 15%
Yes No
$7.8m Vol. Read Article

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

100% chance
Yes No
$567k Vol. Read Article

2026 FIFA World Cup: Team to Replace Iran

Other 74%
Italy 45%
Other Italy
$619 Vol. Read Article

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Sashi Academy (BO3) – European Pro League Regular Group C

Match Winner 100%
Yes No
Map 1 Winner 100%
Yes No
$8k Vol. Read Article

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) – United21 Group B

Match Winner 100%
Yes No
Map 1 Winner 100%
Yes No
$37k Vol. Read Article
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