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Market of the Day
45% Yes chance
Yes 45%
No 55%
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LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) – Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 100%
O/U 2.5 Games 100%
Moving Now

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Radu Burnete 6%
Sorin Grindeanu 4%

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Frontier Airlines 20%
JetBlue 7%

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs AaB Esport (BO3) – European Pro League Regular Group B

Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs Sangal ALTERS (+1.5) 100%
Odd/Even Total Rounds 100%

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by…?

June 30 34%
May 31 0%

Israel closes its airspace by…?

June 30 7%
June 15 1%

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

6% chance

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

3% chance

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 91%
No Head of State 5%

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 47%
National + ACT + Maori 29%

MLB: Team to Have Longest Win Streak

San Diego Padres 48%
Arizona Diamondbacks 48%

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

Los Angeles Rams 85%
Baltimore Ravens 81%

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

<-0.5% 50%
0.0-0.5% 47%

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

2.0%+ 46%
0.8-1.1% 43%

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

0.1-0.3% 52%
1.3%+ 47%

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

17% chance

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

4% chance

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

6% chance
Moving Now

United Rugby Championship: Winner

Leinster 56%
Bulls 21%
Moving Now

Super Rugby Pacific: Winner

Hurricanes 74%
Chiefs 26%

French Top 14: Winner

Toulouse 54%
Montpellier 27%
Moving Now

Premiership Rugby: Winner

Northampton Saints 43%
Exeter Chiefs 39%

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by…?

June 30 1%
May 15 0%

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) – Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Map 2 Winner 100%
O/U 2.5 Games 100%

LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) – LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Game 2 Winner 100%
O/U 2.5 Games 100%

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

1% chance

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 58%
Charles Milliard 25%

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

1450+ 82%
1470+ 56%

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by…?

December 31 60%
June 30 9%

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 39%

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6% chance

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by…?

June 30 35%
May 15 0%

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by…?

September 30 98%
June 30 92%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud 49%
Together 27%

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

Jordan Bardella 76%
Marine Le Pen 22%

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by…?

June 30 79%
May 31 0%

EPL: 2026 PFA Team of the Year

Bruno Fernandes 93%
Declan Rice 82%

Chirayu Rana divorced?

1% chance
Moving Now

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Mahmoud Khalil 54%
Benjamin Netanyahu 51%

Who will be featured on Petal?

The Weeknd 58%
Drake 48%

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by…?

June 30 18%
May 31 0%

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by…?

June 30 11%
May 15 0%
Moving Now

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by…?

June 30 19%
May 31 0%

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by…?

August 31 98%
July 31 89%

Will Russia capture Prymorske by…?

December 31 35%
September 30 12%

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

1% chance

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google 56%
OpenAI 33%

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

16% chance

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