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Prediction Markets

Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$4.5k Volume ↓ 90.5% today

Office Romance 5% Yes No

Ticket To Paradise (2022) 3% Yes No

The Murder of Rachel Nickell 1% Yes No

+8 more

5% Leading

Office Ro… 5%

Ticket To… 3%

The Murde… 1%

+8 more

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Will Ariana Grande release Petal by…?

August 31 98%

Yes No

July 31 89%

Yes No

$1k Vol. Read Article

Will Russia capture Prymorske by…?

December 31 35%

Yes No

September 30 12%

Yes No

$24k Vol. Read Article

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

1% chance

Yes No

$27k Vol. Read Article

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google 56%

Yes No

OpenAI 33%

Yes No

$38k Vol. Read Article

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

16% chance

Yes No

$8k Vol. Read Article

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

32% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol. Read Article

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 49%

Yes No

1.2–1.5T 22%

Yes No

$150k Vol. Read Article

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

North Carolina 96%

Yes No

California 95%

Yes No

$306k Vol. Read Article

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3% chance

Yes No

$30k Vol. Read Article

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

2.0–2.5% 28%

Yes No

2.5–3.0% 21%

Yes No

$7k Vol. Read Article

Bank of England decision in July?

No change 84%

Yes No

25 bps increase 15%

Yes No

$6k Vol. Read Article

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

No change 84%

Yes No

25 bps Increase 17%

Yes No

$96k Vol. Read Article

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

No change 50%

Yes No

50+ bps increase 46%

Yes No

$219 Vol. Read Article

Crude Oil all time high by…?

December 31 19%

Yes No

September 30 11%

Yes No

$978k Vol. Read Article

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

2% chance

Yes No

$5k Vol. Read Article

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Labour Party 56%

Yes No

Green Party 54%

Yes No

$936 Vol. Read Article

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

40-44 42%

Yes No

<25 40%

Yes No

$439 Vol. Read Article

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

45-49 44%

Yes No

50-54 42%

Yes No

$757 Vol. Read Article

New Zealand Election: Turnout

78-80% 45%

Yes No

<76% 45%

Yes No

$614 Vol. Read Article

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Labour 15%+ 44%

Yes No

National 0-5% 43%

Yes No

$627 Vol. Read Article

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand First Party 55%

Yes No

Green Party 37%

Yes No

$2k Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

Labour Party 40%

Yes No

National Party 38%

Yes No

$3k Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

No Change 69%

Yes No

25 bps decrease 28%

Yes No

$16k Vol. Read Article

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

No Change 95%

Yes No

25 bps decrease 5%

Yes No

$12k Vol. Read Article

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Will no one dissent the June Fed decision? 68%

Yes No

1 18%

Yes No

$33k Vol. Read Article

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Pause–Pause–Pause 65%

Yes No

Pause–Cut–Cut 18%

Yes No

$4k Vol. Read Article

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 55%

Yes No

National Party 43%

Yes No

$4k Vol. Read Article

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Christopher Luxon 44%

Yes No

Chris Hipkins 42%

Yes No

$4k Vol. Read Article

James Comey in jail by June 30?

1% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

83% chance

Yes No

$1k Vol. Read Article

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

9% chance

Yes No

$41k Vol. Read Article

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

10% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol. Read Article

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

26% chance

Yes No

$583 Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by…?

June 30 83%

Yes No

June 19 12%

Yes No

$303k Vol. Read Article

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

25-29 36%

Yes No

30-34 19%

Yes No

$5k Vol. Read Article

Apyx FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 92%

Yes No

$100M 78%

Yes No

$25k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)

Thibaut Courtois 19%

Yes No

Emiliano Martínez 19%

Yes No

$24k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

Spain 25%

Yes No

France 18%

Yes No

$239k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Most Assists

Bruno Fernandes 16%

Yes No

Lamine Yamal 15%

Yes No

$73k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

Kylian Mbappé 28%

Yes No

Harry Kane 20%

Yes No

$39k Vol. Read Article

Pro Football: Browns Week 1 Starting QB

Deshaun Watson 61%

Yes No

Shedeur Sanders 46%

Yes No

$247 Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer

France 26%

Yes No

England 15%

Yes No

$292k Vol. Read Article

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

76% chance

Yes No

$146k Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

78% chance

Yes No

$12k Vol. Read Article

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change 93%

Yes No

25 bps increase 8%

Yes No

$7k Vol. Read Article

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

6% chance

Yes No

$10k Vol. Read Article

Who will win Chopped Castaways?

Jean-Paul Bourgeois 59%

Yes No

Paulette Tejada 40%

Yes No

$4k Vol. Read Article

Moving Now

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

4% chance

Yes No

$3k Vol. Read Article

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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by…?

Will Russia capture Prymorske by…?

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Bank of England decision in July?

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Crude Oil all time high by…?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

New Zealand Election: Turnout

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

James Comey in jail by June 30?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by…?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Apyx FDV above ___ one day after launch?

World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Most Assists

World Cup: Most Goal Contributions

Pro Football: Browns Week 1 Starting QB

World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Who will win Chopped Castaways?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

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