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Market of the Day

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

$5k Volume ↓ 90.5% today
Office Romance 5% Yes No
Creed III 1% Yes No
Ticket To Paradise (2022) 1% Yes No
+8 more
5% Leading
Office Ro… 5%
Creed III 1%
Ticket To… 1%
+8 more
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Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Sashi Academy (BO3) – European Pro League Regular Group C

Match Winner 100%
Map 1 Winner 100%

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) – United21 Group B

Match Winner 100%
Map 1 Winner 100%

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

10% chance
Moving Now

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by…?

December 31 45%
June 30 1%
Moving Now

UK Recession in 2026?

43% chance

Japan recession in 2026?

26% chance

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

3.0–3.4% 41%
2.5–2.9% 41%

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

4+ 99%
3 0%

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

12% chance

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

$170 billion 94%
$200 billion 84%

Diddy released from custody in 2026?

19% chance

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) – United21 Group C

Map 1 Winner 100%
Odd/Even Total Rounds 100%

WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?

99% chance

Who will win Dancing with the Stars: Season 35?

Maura Higgins 43%
Ciara Miller 40%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 83%
William Lawrence 13%
Moving Now

Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?

45% chance

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 92%
Édouard Philippe 80%

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?

33% chance
Moving Now

Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?

62% chance

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Gabriel Attal 100%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 99%
Moving Now

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

49% chance

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026?

29% chance
Moving Now

MLB: Doubles Leader

Kevin McGonigle 42%
Matt Olson 12%

MLB: Triples Leader

Corbin Carroll 71%
Xavier Edwards 4%

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

Nasim Nuñez 27%
José Ramírez 16%
Moving Now

MLB: Runs Leader

Shohei Ohtani 10%
Bobby Witt Jr. 6%

MLB: RBIs Leader

Yordan Alvarez 9%
Kyle Schwarber 8%

MLB: Batting Average Leader

Luis Arraez 30%
Otto Lopez 14%

MLB: ERA Leader

Cristopher Sánchez 17%
Shohei Ohtani 14%
Moving Now

MLB: Strikeouts Leader – Pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski 39%
Cristopher Sánchez 22%

Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start?

85% chance
Moving Now

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jackson Lahmeyer 65%
Mark Tedford 32%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz 45%

MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Schwartz 93%
George Walsh 6%
Moving Now

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Diana DeGette 62%
Melat Kiros 30%

MO-06 Republican Primary Winner

Chris Stigall 69%
Nathan Willett 17%

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 51%
Yordan Alvarez 24%

WNBA: 2026 Rookie of the Year

Olivia Miles 89%
Azzi Fudd 4%

WNBA: 2026 Coach of the Year

Cheryl Reeve 46%
Sydney Johnson 46%

WNBA: Team To Make Postseason

Minnesota Lynx 90%
Atlanta Dream 88%
Moving Now

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 67%
Paige Bueckers 13%

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

1% chance

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

3 30%
2 28%

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 59%
New People (NL) 30%

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 45%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 26%
Moving Now

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

53-56% 40%
62%+ 39%

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

57-60% 98%
48-51% 3%

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

19% chance

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