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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in NYC on June 12?

$15.7k Volume ↑ 63.5% today
74-75°F 95% Yes No
72-73°F 3% Yes No
70-71°F 1% Yes No
+8 more
95% Leading
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 3%
70-71°F 1%
+8 more
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Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Alibaba 62%
Z.ai 13%

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

Anthropic 66%
Google 21%

Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 78%
Google 8%
Moving Now

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 80%
Google 11%
Moving Now

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

60% chance

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

84% chance

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

68% chance

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

89% chance

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

79% chance

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

90% chance

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

74% chance

Joe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30?

1% chance
Moving Now

World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

Emiliano Martínez 17%
Unai Simón 14%

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 67%
Google 17%

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

14+ 55%
13 24%

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Anthropic 81%
Google 9%
Moving Now

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

Anthropic 65%
Google 17%

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by…?

December 31 7%
July 31 2%

World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

59% chance
Moving Now

World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise

46% chance

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

61% chance
Moving Now

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

61% chance

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

Japan 23%
Norway 12%
Moving Now

World Cup: Silver Boot Winner

Cristiano Ronaldo 29%
Erling Haaland 26%

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

Argentina 41%
Brazil 32%

World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation

France 24%
Spain 20%

Will Messi, Ronaldo or Neymar Advance Furthest in the World Cup?

Cristiano Ronaldo 39%
Lionel Messi 33%
Moving Now

NHL Playoffs: Stanley Cup Finals Exact Outcome

Hurricanes 4-2 52%
Hurricanes 4-3 31%

NHL Playoffs: Stanley Cup Finals Series Length

7 52%
6 48%

NBA Playoffs: Finals Exact Outcome

Knicks 4-1 40%
Knicks 4-2 34%

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

Mexico 49%
United States 36%

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CAF Nation

Morocco 32%
Senegal 21%

World Cup: Furthest Advancing AFC Nation

Japan 38%
South Korea 36%
Moving Now

NBA Finals: Exact Series Length

6 Games 43%
5 Games 33%

Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?

34% chance

World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner

Erling Haaland 36%
Lionel Messi 35%

World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner

Jude Bellingham 34%
Harry Kane 33%
Moving Now

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

Harry Kane 34%
Pedri 33%

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Kylian Mbappé 12%
Lamine Yamal 12%

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

$342k – $345k 28%
$339k – $342k 19%

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on June 30?

<$1.172M 44%
$1.181M – $1.190M 32%

What will the median home value in Miami be on June 30?

$1.138M – $1.171M 56%
$1.105M – $1.138M 23%

Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?

52% chance

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

≥1.5% 51%
0.3%–0.5% 50%

NBA Finals: Player to Record Highest Scoring Game?

Jalen Brunson 77%
Karl-Anthony Towns 32%

NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?

81% chance
Moving Now

NBA Finals: Total 3PM Leader

OG Anunoby 42%
Landry Shamet 39%

NBA Finals: Player to Record 40+ Points in a Single Game?

Dylan Harper 50%
De'Aaron Fox 38%

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