Prediction Markets | Politics, Sports & Crypto Odds

NY-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Avila Chevalier <5% 99%

Yes No

Avila Chevalier 10%+ 22%

Yes No

$89k Vol.

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STRC hits $100 by…

December 31 45%

Yes No

September 30 22%

Yes No

$256k Vol.

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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

3% chance

Yes No

$20k Vol.

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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

2% chance

Yes No

$39k Vol.

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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

5% chance

Yes No

$203k Vol.

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SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?

100% chance

Yes No

$5k Vol.

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Russia x Ukraine peace talks by…?

December 31 59%

Yes No

September 30 38%

Yes No

$221k Vol.

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Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 65%

Yes No

Pause–Pause–Pause 32%

Yes No

$548k Vol.

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Bank of Japan Decision in September?

No change 78%

Yes No

25 bps increase 22%

Yes No

$106k Vol.

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Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9% 52%

Yes No

2.0-2.4% 34%

Yes No

$16k Vol.

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Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.0-2.4% 64%

Yes No

≤1.9% 17%

Yes No

$22k Vol.

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Fed Decision in October?

No change 61%

Yes No

25 bps increase 24%

Yes No

$353k Vol.

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ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

25 bps increase 80%

Yes No

No change 19%

Yes No

$145k Vol.

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Bank of Brazil decision in September?

No Change 50%

Yes No

25 bps decrease 48%

Yes No

$28k Vol.

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Megaquake by July 31?

2% chance

Yes No

$32k Vol.

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US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by…?

October 31 74%

Yes No

August 31 52%

Yes No

$22k Vol.

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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by…?

July 31 3%

Yes No

June 30 0%

Yes No

$36k Vol.

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SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

June 30, 2027 84%

Yes No

December 31, 2026 52%

Yes No

$5k Vol.

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Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

19% chance

Yes No

$310 Vol.

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UK social media ban in effect by…?

June 30, 2027 52%

Yes No

December 31, 2026 11%

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

December 31, 2026 13%

Yes No

July 31, 2026 2%

Yes No

$448 Vol.

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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

47% chance

Yes No

$256k Vol.

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

0% chance

Yes No

$123k Vol.

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John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31?

2% chance

Yes No

$445 Vol.

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How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

2 34%

Yes No

Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? 26%

Yes No

$51k Vol.

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Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

13% chance

Yes No

$12k Vol.

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Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?

12% chance

Yes No

$262 Vol.

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Moving Now

Where will Yan Diomande transfer?

Real Madrid 97%

Yes No

Manchester City 1%

Yes No

$49k Vol.

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Where will Julian Alvarez transfer?

Atletico Madrid 58%

Yes No

Barcelona 33%

Yes No

$46k Vol.

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NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Lasher <5% 98%

Yes No

Lasher 5–10% 1%

Yes No

$95k Vol.

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Where will Joao Cancelo transfer?

Barcelona 84%

Yes No

Inter Milan 4%

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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Where will Eduardo Camavinga transfer?

Paris Saint-Germain 45%

Yes No

Chelsea 45%

Yes No

$5k Vol.

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Where will Bradley Barcola transfer?

Liverpool 63%

Yes No

Paris Saint-Germain 22%

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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Where will Jack Grealish transfer?

Everton 44%

Yes No

Aston Villa 36%

Yes No

$25k Vol.

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Where will Marcus Rashford transfer?

Manchester United 58%

Yes No

Bayern Munich 46%

Yes No

$8k Vol.

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Where will Bruno Fernandes transfer?

Manchester United 99%

Yes No

Bayern Munich 1%

Yes No

$20k Vol.

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Moving Now

Where will Rafael Leao transfer?

Paris Saint-Germain 50%

Yes No

AC Milan 30%

Yes No

$6k Vol.

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Moving Now

Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

Real Madrid 71%

Yes No

Arsenal 27%

Yes No

$49k Vol.

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Where will Mohamed Salah transfer?

Fenerbahce 14%

Yes No

Al-Hilal 12%

Yes No

$20k Vol.

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Where will Nico Schlotterbeck transfer?

Borussia Dortmund 95%

Yes No

Real Madrid 4%

Yes No

$29k Vol.

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Moving Now

Where will Enzo Fernandez transfer?

Chelsea 47%

Yes No

Bayern Munich 46%

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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Where will Emiliano Martinez transfer?

Juventus 52%

Yes No

Aston Villa 52%

Yes No

$4k Vol.

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Where will Leon Goretzka transfer?

Al-Nassr 47%

Yes No

Juventus 45%

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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Where will Aurelien Tchouameni transfer?

Real Madrid 86%

Yes No

Arsenal 8%

Yes No

$40k Vol.

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Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

6% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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NHL: 2027 Champion

Florida Panthers 14%

Yes No

Carolina Hurricanes 11%

Yes No

$405k Vol.

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#2 Artist 2026

Drake 53%

Yes No

Taylor Swift 31%

Yes No

$8k Vol.

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#3 Artist 2026

Taylor Swift 46%

Yes No

Drake 36%

Yes No

$10k Vol.

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