Lines
Home / MLB Predictions / New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Predictions

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Predictions

July 10 06:45 PM (Start in 5 Hours)
NATS Nationals Park

Yankees vs. Nationals Matchup Overview

The New York Yankees visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals on July 10th, 2026, at 6:45 pm. The Yankees hold a record of 50-42, while the Nationals are slightly behind at 48-46. Current betting odds show the Yankees at -150 on the moneyline and the Nationals at +128. For the best bets, check out The Edge AI sports betting tool for insights on spreads and over-under totals. Key players to watch include Ben Rice for the Yankees, who boasts a .272 batting average with 26 home runs and 60 RBIs, and Luis García Jr. for the Nationals, hitting .291 with 20 home runs and 68 RBIs. The Yankees will miss Trent Grisham due to a hamstring injury, which could impact their lineup. In their recent matchups, the Yankees have won the last three encounters against the Nationals, showcasing their dominance in this series.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals
  • Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees — (—) (-1.5 (+100 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Nationals — (—) (+1.5 (-120 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 (-118/-102) (Over 9.5 (-118 BetMGM Sportsbook), Under 9.5 (-104 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -150 (-162 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Nationals +128 (+136 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 58%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 42%

The Yankees and Nationals have faced off in a limited but telling historical context, with the Yankees holding a favorable all-time record. Traditionally, the Yankees bring a power-hitting style that often challenges the Nationals’ pitching depth, while Washington’s balanced approach can exploit New York’s pitching inconsistencies. Given the Yankees’ strong performance in interleague play and the Nationals’ struggles against elite lineups, betting trends likely favor New York when these teams meet.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Yankees 5-4 Nationals with a confidence score of 70%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
58%
42%
Confidence Level: 68.5%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets
Over/Under
58%
42%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets
Moneyline
58%
42%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets

When the Yankees face the Nationals, you’ve got a classic clash of styles. The Yankees are all about that power game, swinging for the fences, while the Nationals often lean on a more strategic, small-ball approach. Historically, the Yankees have fared well in these matchups, but the Nats’ home field can turn the tide, especially with their deep outfield and favorable dimensions that can help their pitchers settle in against a potent lineup.

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Moneyline

The Yankees face the Nationals in what could be a pivotal matchup for both teams. With the Yankees holding a slight edge in the moneyline at -150, their recent performance suggests they might be the safer bet. However, the Nationals have shown resilience at home, making this a game worth watching for moneyline bettors.

See Game Picks

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Run Line

The New York Yankees, with a solid away record, may have the edge in covering the run line against the Washington Nationals. However, Washington’s ability to score runs at home could keep this game competitive, making the run line a crucial factor to consider in this matchup.

See Game Picks

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Over/Under

The Yankees and Nationals have been averaging around 9.5 runs combined in their recent matchups, indicating a potential for high scoring. However, the Yankees’ recent struggles with injuries and the Nationals’ pitching performances could impact the final tally. Monitoring the starters’ effectiveness and lineup changes will be crucial in determining if this game surpasses the total.

See Game Picks
51-42
All
48-46
23-20
Home
20-28
28-22
Away
28-18
47-37
as Fav
13-12
4-5
as Dog
35-34
43-50
ATS
54-40
18-25
ATS Home
20-28
25-25
ATS Away
34-12
42-46
O/U
55-34
22-19
O/U Home
31-14
20-27
O/U Away
24-20
RESULT
WIN 12-4
DATE
07/09
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 0-3
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 4-6
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o8.0
RESULT
WIN 5-1
DATE
07/06
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 6-1
DATE
07/05
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-8
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
LOSE 6-3
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
WIN 11-12
DATE
07/06
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o9.5
RESULT
LOSE 11-5
DATE
07/05
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 7-1
DATE
07/04
SPREAD
O/U
u10.0
WHO WON
Yankees logo NYY
RESULT
2-11
DATE
08/27
WHO WON
Yankees logo NYY
RESULT
1-5
DATE
08/26
WHO WON
Yankees logo NYY
RESULT
5-10
DATE
08/25
WHO WON
Nationals logo WSH
RESULT
2-5
DATE
08/28
WHO WON
Nationals logo WSH
RESULT
2-4
DATE
08/27

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.316
On Base Percentage
0.325
0.420
Slugging Percentage
0.435
3.41
Earned Run Average
4.77
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.19
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.39
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.247
11
51
83
0.275
28
65
90
0.221
12
34
68
0.246
10
34
65
0.257
14
41
59
0.151
5
11
28
0.243
9
27
36
0.242
1
13
32
0.233
4
10
28
0.233
2
7
17
0.240
2
6
12
0.267
0
4
8
0.000
0
0
0
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
3-7
4.29
1.25
104
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
9-5
2.01
0.93
131
7-4
4.15
1.37
94
3-7
4.29
1.25
104
3-4
4.04
1.20
47
2-1
2.31
1.14
35
4-2
3.30
1.25
52
4-1
1.57
1.13
52
4-3
2.35
1.28
48
1-0
4.17
1.20
27
3-1
4.59
1.36
35
3-2
3.86
1.06
16
1-1
4.60
1.40
30
0-0
0.00
2.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.252
10
44
91
0.269
25
61
96
0.276
20
67
92
0.291
20
68
85
0.223
8
31
59
0.247
1
28
64
0.240
15
42
60
0.280
6
34
54
0.249
3
16
43
0.234
5
20
39
0.226
6
18
37
0.188
2
11
24
0.157
1
7
8
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
0-1
7.11
1.58
7
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
10-2
2.77
1.02
109
5-4
3.89
1.38
105
3-7
5.78
1.33
50
7-6
5.02
1.31
52
5-2
3.88
1.22
52
2-2
3.64
1.40
51
3-0
2.83
1.31
22
0-3
7.44
1.90
41
0-1
3.29
1.17
23
3-1
3.00
1.22
30
0-0
6.28
1.74
11
0-1
7.82
2.05
12
0-1
7.11
1.58
7
0-0
40.50
6.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster