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Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Predictions

July 10 06:40 PM (Start in 5 Hours)
DSN Comerica Park

Phillies vs. Tigers Matchup Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies face off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on July 10th, 2026. The Phillies enter the game with a record of 51-42, while the Tigers sit at 42-50. Check out the betting odds, with the Phillies at +103 on the moneyline and the Tigers at -123. For the best bets, consider using The Edge AI sports betting tool. Key players for the Phillies include Brandon Marsh, who boasts a .305 batting average and 15 home runs this season, and Bryce Harper, contributing with 20 home runs and an .880 OPS. For the Tigers, Riley Greene is a standout with a .292 average and 13 home runs. Notably, the Phillies will miss Adolis García, who is out for the season due to injury. In their recent matchups, the Phillies have had the upper hand, winning two of the last three encounters against the Tigers. This game shapes up to be an intriguing battle with playoff implications on the line.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers
  • Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM
  • Venue: Comerica Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-200) (+1.5 (-190 Hard Rock)), Tigers -1.5 (+162) (+1.5 (-200 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (-122/100) (Over 8.5 (-124 ), Under 9.0 (-115 Hard Rock))
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +103 (+105 (Hard Rock)), Tigers -123 (-120 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 47%, while the Tigers have a win probability of 53%

The Phillies and Tigers have faced off in a matchup that highlights contrasting styles: the Phillies’ aggressive hitting versus the Tigers’ more balanced approach. Historically, the Phillies have had an edge in head-to-head matchups, often capitalizing on their power game to exploit Detroit’s pitching vulnerabilities. When betting on this series, consider the Phillies’ strong road performance and the impact of Comerica Park’s dimensions, which can favor hitters.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Phillies 5-4 Tigers with a confidence score of 65%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
47%
53%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Over/Under
47%
53%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
47%
53%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

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When the Phillies face off against the Tigers, it’s a clash of styles that often plays out in the moneyline. Philadelphia tends to rely on a strong offensive approach, looking to outslug opponents, while Detroit often emphasizes pitching and defense, especially at home where Comerica Park’s dimensions can favor hurlers. Historically, the line movement reflects this dynamic, with the Phillies often favored when their bats are hot, but the Tigers can shift the odds quickly if their pitchers are on point, making this matchup one to watch for savvy bettors.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Moneyline

The Phillies look to leverage their solid lineup against the Tigers in this matchup, with current moneyline odds favoring Detroit slightly at home. Philadelphia’s offensive power, led by Brandon Marsh and Bryce Harper, could prove pivotal as they aim to improve their record on the road.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Run Line

The Philadelphia Phillies, with a solid run line record on the road, could find success against the Detroit Tigers. However, Detroit’s recent performance at home suggests they might keep it close enough to challenge the spread. The outcome will likely hinge on both teams’ offensive consistency and starting pitching effectiveness.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Over/Under

The Phillies and Tigers have shown a tendency to produce runs, averaging 8.5 runs in their recent matchups. With Philadelphia’s powerful lineup and Detroit’s capable bats, the total could be influenced by the effectiveness of each team’s pitching staff. How the starters perform will likely play a crucial role in determining whether this game hits the over or under.

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52-42
All
43-50
25-21
Home
26-21
27-21
Away
17-29
47-31
as Fav
28-31
5-11
as Dog
15-19
35-59
ATS
44-49
17-29
ATS Home
22-25
18-30
ATS Away
22-24
40-50
O/U
41-48
23-20
O/U Home
18-26
17-30
O/U Away
23-22
RESULT
WIN 5-6
DATE
04/30
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
WIN 1-0
DATE
07/09
SPREAD
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
LOSE 5-11
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
WIN 4-1
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
LOSE 1-15
DATE
07/06
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
WIN 4-1
DATE
05/24
SPREAD
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 1-4
DATE
07/09
SPREAD
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 1-6
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-6
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
O/U
o8.0
RESULT
WIN 6-3
DATE
07/05
SPREAD
O/U
WHO WON
Phillies logo PHI
RESULT
0-2
DATE
08/03
WHO WON
Tigers logo DET
RESULT
7-5
DATE
08/02
WHO WON
Phillies logo PHI
RESULT
4-5
DATE
08/01
WHO WON
Phillies logo PHI
RESULT
6-2
DATE
06/26
WHO WON
Tigers logo DET
RESULT
1-4
DATE
06/25

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.304
On Base Percentage
0.314
0.402
Slugging Percentage
0.399
4.24
Earned Run Average
3.67
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.32
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.22
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.239
10
32
90
0.254
32
58
86
0.261
20
57
86
0.307
15
46
101
0.220
11
47
72
0.245
7
41
76
0.263
2
21
70
0.199
7
28
44
0.221
5
25
32
0.248
6
13
30
0.111
2
6
9
0.179
0
2
5
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
3-6
5.87
1.46
94
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
10-4
2.62
1.16
137
8-4
3.51
1.22
136
3-6
5.87
1.46
94
9-1
2.28
0.91
98
2-2
2.81
1.01
42
6-0
2.50
1.19
40
3-3
7.03
1.78
45
1-3
1.42
0.95
50
2-0
3.14
1.12
37
1-4
9.13
2.07
17
0-2
4.19
1.40
22
1-0
5.87
1.57
15
1-0
7.15
1.68
14
0-0
15.00
2.83
7
0-0
7.71
2.14
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.287
7
32
97
0.289
13
45
97
0.264
19
60
84
0.212
15
41
66
0.250
7
21
61
0.199
5
30
46
0.202
4
18
42
0.227
13
36
45
0.247
4
15
36
0.153
3
11
18
0.137
2
7
13
0.171
3
9
14
0.250
0
4
5
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
2-8
4.60
1.45
92
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
5-6
4.10
1.32
87
5-5
3.15
0.99
60
2-8
4.60
1.45
92
4-5
2.64
0.98
72
5-4
3.06
0.95
84
3-3
4.28
1.32
68
5-1
1.82
0.81
41
2-0
2.13
1.49
32
1-4
3.29
1.34
34
1-4
4.77
1.24
24
0-0
1.54
0.60
8
0-0
6.00
1.67
14
0-0
9.00
1.71
6
0-0
0.00
1.50
1
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster