Lines
Home / MLB Predictions / Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions

July 10 07:10 PM (Start in 5 Hours)
WSTR Great American Ball Park

Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Overview

The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds on July 10th, 2026, at 7:10 pm. Both teams are currently even on the moneyline at -108, making this a competitive matchup. The Cubs hold a record of 52-40, while the Reds sit at 42-49. Be sure to check The Edge AI sports betting tool for the best odds on the moneyline, spread, and over-under, which is set at 9.5 runs. Key players to watch include Pete Crow-Armstrong for the Cubs, who boasts a .296 batting average with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz is a player to keep an eye on with a .274 average and 14 home runs. Both players are crucial to their teams’ offensive output. There are no reported injuries for either team, which means both squads will be at full strength. In their recent matchup history, the Cubs have won the last three games against the Reds, which could give them a psychological edge heading into this game.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs β€” (β€”) (-1.5 (+150 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Reds β€” (β€”) (+1.5 (-167 ))
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 (-104/-118) (Over 9.5 (-102 BetMGM Sportsbook), Under 9.5 (-120 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs -108 (-108 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Reds -108 (-108 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 50%, while the Reds have a win probability of 50%

The Cubs and Reds have a long-standing rivalry that dates back over a century, with the all-time record leaning slightly in favor of the Cubs. Traditionally, the Cubs rely on a power-hitting approach while the Reds emphasize speed and contact hitting. Historically, the Reds have struggled against the Cubs’ pitching depth, especially at Great American Ball Park, where the ball tends to carry, favoring the Cubs’ power hitters in key matchups.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Cubs 5-4 Reds with a confidence score of 70%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
50%
50%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets
Over/Under
50%
50%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets
Moneyline
50%
50%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

Unlock for as little as $16.65/month

Unlock
Play Now with Best Odds
BetMGM will refund your first wager in bonus bets

When the Cubs and Reds face off, you’re looking at a classic NL Central rivalry. The Cubs often rely on their power hitters, while the Reds have a history of emphasizing speed and contact. Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park can skew the dynamics, favoring hitters, but the Cubs have shown they can adapt their approach to find success on the road against this familiar foe. Historically, the money line moves tend to reflect the Cubs’ strong following, often inflating their odds when they’re in town, but the Reds can make for a sneaky value play at home.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Moneyline

The Cubs and Reds are evenly matched according to the current moneyline odds, both sitting at -108. With Chicago’s Pete Crow-Armstrong leading the way and Cincinnati’s Elly De La Cruz providing a spark, this matchup could go either way, making it a key game for bettors looking to capitalize on the odds.

See Game Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Run Line

The Chicago Cubs, with a solid road record of 52-40, face off against the Cincinnati Reds, who sit at 42-49. The Cubs’ ability to score runs, highlighted by Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 21 home runs, could give them an edge in covering the run line. However, the Reds, backed by Elly De La Cruz, might keep it close, especially at home, making this matchup one to watch closely for run line bettors.

See Game Picks

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Over/Under

The Cubs and Reds have combined for an average of 9.1 runs per game in their recent matchups, indicating a strong offensive potential. However, the effectiveness of the starting pitchers could play a significant role in whether this game hits the projected total. Keep an eye on how both teams’ lineups perform against the opposing pitching staff as the game approaches.

See Game Picks
52-41
All
42-50
27-19
Home
21-26
25-22
Away
21-24
41-29
as Fav
23-15
11-12
as Dog
19-35
39-54
ATS
47-45
16-30
ATS Home
19-28
23-24
ATS Away
28-17
50-42
O/U
52-38
25-21
O/U Home
26-21
25-21
O/U Away
26-17
RESULT
WIN 10-3
DATE
06/24
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
LOSE 5-6
DATE
04/05
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
LOSE 2-3
DATE
07/09
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
WIN 9-7
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
WIN 5-2
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
LOSE 8-1
DATE
05/23
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
LOSE 1-0
DATE
07/09
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
WIN 5-11
DATE
07/08
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
LOSE 4-1
DATE
07/07
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-3
DATE
07/05
SPREAD
β€”
O/U
β€”
WHO WON
Cubs logo CHC
RESULT
3-8
DATE
05/07
WHO WON
Cubs logo CHC
RESULT
6-7
DATE
05/06
WHO WON
Cubs logo CHC
RESULT
2-3
DATE
05/05
WHO WON
Cubs logo CHC
RESULT
4-5
DATE
05/04
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
0-1
DATE
09/21

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.337
On Base Percentage
0.307
0.412
Slugging Percentage
0.389
4.35
Earned Run Average
4.54
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.27
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.45
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.240
4
38
87
0.238
7
35
85
0.296
21
52
103
0.233
11
48
78
0.220
17
41
73
0.212
16
58
64
0.266
15
47
77
0.278
5
31
58
0.248
8
22
34
0.228
3
13
29
0.250
1
7
14
0.400
0
3
2
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
5-7
4.28
1.10
100
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
5-7
4.28
1.10
100
7-5
4.75
1.45
70
4-7
6.45
1.64
70
6-1
4.15
1.10
33
4-1
4.31
1.31
44
3-2
3.18
1.31
47
5-1
2.86
1.27
35
3-2
2.60
1.01
13
2-2
4.44
1.25
33
0-2
10.45
1.94
8
0-0
6.52
1.55
8
0-1
7.45
1.03
13
0-0
3.38
1.63
6
0-0
18.00
2.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.254
19
64
89
0.240
14
36
73
0.270
14
43
78
0.190
8
25
51
0.239
14
39
55
0.201
9
32
46
0.234
6
24
51
0.242
9
25
47
0.174
3
11
32
0.200
6
13
24
0.239
0
4
21
0.250
1
8
16
0.000
0
0
0
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
11-1
2.54
1.11
118
5-5
3.92
1.41
81
3-9
4.72
1.47
76
3-6
5.05
1.55
58
3-2
4.68
1.46
46
3-4
3.12
1.39
38
1-6
3.76
1.28
42
1-0
2.33
0.93
24
2-1
4.15
1.31
25
1-1
4.37
1.10
9
1-0
2.00
1.33
17
2-1
6.46
1.50
13
0-1
1.93
0.86
9
0-0
14.40
3.00
1
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster