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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Predictions

June 19 07:05 PM (Start in 14 Hours)
WSTR Yankee Stadium

Reds vs. Yankees Matchup Overview

The Cincinnati Reds visit Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees on June 19th, 2026, at 7:05 pm. The Yankees are -251 favorites on the moneyline, while the Reds sit at +203. With a record of 35-38, Cincinnati is looking to improve their standing against New York’s strong 45-27 record. Check out The Edge AI sports betting tool for the best bets on this matchup. Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with a .280 batting average and 12 home runs, making him a key player to watch. For the Yankees, Ben Rice is performing well with a .291 average and 20 home runs. However, the Yankees might be without José Caballero, who is out with a finger injury, and Trent Grisham is questionable with a knee issue. Recent matchups have seen the Yankees win two out of the last three games against the Reds, adding to the intrigue of this matchup.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees
  • Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Reds -1.5 (-105) (+1.5 (-102 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Yankees -1.5 (-116) (-1.5 (-114 ))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (-118/-105) (Over 8.5 (-115 Hard Rock), Under 8.5 (-104 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds +203 (+205 (Hard Rock)), Yankees -251 (-235 ())

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 31%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 69%

The Reds and Yankees have a long-standing history, with the Yankees often dominating the all-time record. Traditionally, the Yankees leverage their power-hitting style, while the Reds focus on a more balanced offensive approach. Historically, the Yankees’ home field advantage at Yankee Stadium, combined with their strong bullpen, tends to give them the edge in this matchup, making it a tough challenge for the Reds when they visit.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Yankees 6-3 Reds with a confidence score of 75%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
31%
69%
Confidence Level: 68.5%

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Over/Under
31%
69%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
31%
69%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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When the Reds take on the Yankees, it’s a clash of styles that’s been brewing for years. Cincinnati often relies on speed and small ball, while New York leans heavily on power hitting. Historically, the Yankees have had the edge in the money line, especially at home, where the dimensions of Yankee Stadium can amplify their offensive strengths, making it tough for the Reds to keep pace.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Moneyline

The Yankees, boasting a solid record at home, are favored in this matchup against the Reds based on current moneyline odds. With Elly De La Cruz leading Cincinnati’s lineup, they could pose a challenge to New York’s pitching, making this a game to watch for moneyline bettors.

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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Run Line

The Cincinnati Reds, with a 35-38 record, face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. While the Yankees have a strong home record and a powerful lineup led by Ben Rice, the Reds could keep it close with Elly De La Cruz’s offensive capabilities. The run line could hinge on the effectiveness of each team’s pitching, especially with possible injuries affecting the Yankees’ lineup.

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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Over/Under

The Yankees and Reds have averaged 8.5 runs per game in their last five meetings at Yankee Stadium, indicating a solid offensive matchup. However, the Yankees’ recent injury concerns and the performance of both starting pitchers could influence the total runs scored. How these factors play out will be key in determining if this game hits the projected over/under.

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35-38
All
45-28
19-19
Home
21-13
16-19
Away
24-15
19-13
as Fav
43-26
16-25
as Dog
2-2
38-35
ATS
38-35
15-23
ATS Home
16-18
23-12
ATS Away
22-17
44-28
O/U
34-34
23-15
O/U Home
18-14
21-13
O/U Away
16-20
RESULT
LOSE 8-1
DATE
05/23
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
LOSE 9-1
DATE
06/17
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
WIN 3-5
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
WIN 0-12
DATE
06/15
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o8.0
RESULT
LOSE 5-3
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
O/U
u10.0
RESULT
LOSE 5-1
DATE
06/18
SPREAD
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
WIN 5-10
DATE
06/17
SPREAD
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-12
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
WIN 8-3
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
WIN 3-1
DATE
06/13
SPREAD
O/U
u7.5
WHO WON
Yankees logo NYY
RESULT
7-1
DATE
06/25
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
4-5
DATE
06/24
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
1-6
DATE
06/23
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
8-4
DATE
07/04
WHO WON
Reds logo CIN
RESULT
3-2
DATE
07/03

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.311
On Base Percentage
0.333
0.395
Slugging Percentage
0.442
4.67
Earned Run Average
3.32
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.47
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.18
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.252
14
47
69
0.245
11
28
60
0.207
8
25
49
0.280
12
37
65
0.213
5
19
38
0.265
13
35
44
0.255
9
25
40
0.179
2
8
28
0.142
2
5
17
0.267
2
5
31
0.255
3
12
26
0.188
3
6
18
0.231
0
4
6
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
8-1
2.01
1.02
95
4-4
3.95
1.41
58
3-6
5.32
1.61
52
0-7
6.96
1.66
39
2-2
6.12
1.59
32
2-3
2.83
1.43
31
1-5
3.30
1.23
33
1-3
5.46
1.50
27
1-0
5.53
1.77
28
1-1
3.33
1.22
32
2-1
3.27
1.23
20
1-0
3.06
1.08
16
0-0
5.40
1.92
13
0-0
0.00
0.00
1
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.275
11
49
73
0.291
20
49
73
0.228
10
30
57
0.232
8
35
52
0.248
17
38
53
0.211
8
23
38
0.300
11
36
51
0.166
4
7
24
0.252
6
20
27
0.250
1
12
20
0.188
0
7
15
0.222
0
3
6
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
7-3
1.82
0.91
96
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
7-3
1.82
0.91
96
2-5
4.13
1.13
89
7-1
3.47
1.29
76
3-2
3.50
1.25
41
4-1
1.84
1.28
38
2-1
3.03
1.38
23
4-2
2.25
1.25
41
2-3
3.64
1.38
36
3-0
5.08
1.17
26
3-2
4.55
1.16
15
0-0
3.08
1.03
21
1-1
5.32
1.41
25
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
POS
CF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Knee
Notes
Grisham is dealing with an injury to his left knee and is uncertain to take the field for the Yankees.
full roster and injuries