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Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Predictions

June 19 08:10 PM (Start in 15 Hours)
SCHN Daikin Park

Guardians vs. Astros Matchup Overview

The Cleveland Guardians visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros on June 19th, 2026, at 8:10 pm. The Guardians hold a record of 39-35, while the Astros are struggling at 35-41. Check out the betting odds for this matchup: the Guardians are currently at -101 on the moneyline, and the Astros are at -115. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this game. Brayan Rocchio is a key player for the Guardians, boasting a .265 average with 5 home runs and 32 RBIs. Josรฉ Ramรญrez adds depth with his .239 average and 10 home runs. For the Astros, Yordan Alvarez is the standout, hitting .325 with 24 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Christian Walker contributes with 18 home runs. There are no significant injuries reported for either team, which keeps the lineups intact. In their recent matchups, the Astros have won two out of the last three games against the Guardians, adding some intrigue to this contest.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
  • Date: Friday, June 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:10 PM
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Guardians โ€” (โ€”) (-1.5 (+164 BetMGM Sportsbook)), Astros โ€” (โ€”) (+1.5 (-200 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (-105/-115) (Over 8.5 (-105 BetMGM Sportsbook), Under 8.5 (-115 BetMGM Sportsbook))
  • Moneyline Odds: Guardians -101 (+102 (BetMGM Sportsbook)), Astros -115 (-120 (BetMGM Sportsbook))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Guardians a win probability of 49%, while the Astros have a win probability of 51%

The Guardians and Astros have a history defined by contrasting styles, with Cleveland traditionally emphasizing pitching depth and Houston leaning on offensive firepower. Historically, the Astros have had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups, often exploiting their home field advantage at Minute Maid Park. Given these dynamics, bettors should consider how the Guardians’ pitching can mitigate Houston’s offense, especially in tight games, while also keeping an eye on the Astros’ ability to capitalize on mistakes.

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Astros 5-4 Guardians with a confidence score of 68%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
49%
51%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Over/Under
49%
51%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
49%
51%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

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When the Guardians face the Astros, you’re looking at a clash of styles that goes back a while. Cleveland’s approach leans on pitching and defense, while Houston thrives on offensive depth and power, especially at home in Minute Maid Park. Historically, the Astros have held the upper hand in the moneyline, often capitalizing on their strong lineup against the Guardians’ more conservative play, making this matchup one to watch for bettors seeking value in line movements.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Moneyline

The Guardians face the Astros in Houston, where the current moneyline odds suggest a close contest. With Cleveland’s solid batting from Brayan Rocchio and the Astros’ Yordan Alvarez leading the charge, this matchup could swing either way, making it a critical game for bettors to consider.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Run Line

The Cleveland Guardians, with a decent away record, could find value in the run line against the Houston Astros. However, Houston’s home offense, led by Yordan Alvarez, is capable of putting up runs quickly, making this matchup tight. The starting pitchers will likely play a crucial role in determining if either team can cover the spread.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Over/Under

The Guardians and Astros have a combined average of 8.5 runs per game in their recent matchups, indicating solid offensive potential. However, the performance of each team’s starting pitcher and their recent form could significantly impact the scoring in this game. Keep an eye on how the bullpens hold up, as that could sway the total runs in either direction.

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40-35
All
35-41
19-17
Home
18-20
21-18
Away
17-21
23-21
as Fav
14-20
17-14
as Dog
21-21
37-38
ATS
36-40
16-20
ATS Home
18-20
21-18
ATS Away
18-20
36-39
O/U
40-31
18-18
O/U Home
22-15
18-21
O/U Away
18-16
RESULT
WIN 5-6
DATE
04/05
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o7.5
RESULT
WIN 4-2
DATE
06/18
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 4-9
DATE
06/17
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
o8.0
RESULT
LOSE 1-2
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 1-3
DATE
06/13
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
u8.0
RESULT
WIN 11-5
DATE
04/30
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
โ€”
RESULT
WIN 2-4
DATE
06/17
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
u8.5
RESULT
WIN 2-4
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u7.5
RESULT
LOSE 9-3
DATE
06/15
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
LOSE 0-4
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
โ€”
O/U
u8.5
WHO WON
Astros logo HOU
RESULT
2-0
DATE
04/22
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
5-8
DATE
04/21
WHO WON
Astros logo HOU
RESULT
9-2
DATE
04/20
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
4-2
DATE
07/09
WHO WON
Guardians logo CLE
RESULT
10-6
DATE
07/08

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.314
On Base Percentage
0.317
0.370
Slugging Percentage
0.412
3.79
Earned Run Average
4.87
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.26
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.42
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.239
10
33
64
0.262
7
34
63
0.213
1
13
50
0.269
5
32
63
0.239
11
33
54
0.237
8
23
47
0.227
6
26
42
0.178
6
24
30
0.250
5
18
40
0.162
2
10
22
0.230
4
9
23
0.260
1
9
26
0.147
0
1
5
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
2-7
3.96
1.18
71
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
9-4
3.83
1.14
103
7-3
2.70
1.10
91
2-7
3.96
1.18
71
3-5
4.60
1.40
65
5-3
4.38
1.49
67
2-0
2.38
1.06
51
1-1
4.15
1.15
33
4-1
1.69
0.83
30
0-2
2.84
1.42
23
2-1
1.71
0.95
39
1-2
3.98
1.53
16
1-1
3.15
1.15
22
0-1
5.63
1.88
6
0-0
13.50
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.246
18
52
69
0.325
24
55
89
0.223
7
26
56
0.234
10
36
57
0.211
6
18
36
0.221
4
19
33
0.279
4
15
41
0.214
3
10
24
0.243
3
8
18
0.250
1
5
16
0.157
3
8
8
0.191
1
2
9
0.056
0
1
1
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
3-3
6.43
1.51
37
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
3-8
5.86
1.58
65
6-4
3.23
1.11
58
7-2
2.57
1.22
60
3-6
4.31
1.34
58
3-2
3.86
1.29
41
3-3
6.43
1.51
37
0-0
2.70
0.93
28
0-1
4.22
1.09
31
2-1
2.59
1.31
24
2-3
6.66
1.89
33
1-1
9.33
1.58
14
1-0
2.79
1.14
10
0-0
9.00
1.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster