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Market of the Day

Lowest temperature in Paris on June 16?

$15.9k Volume ↑ 68% today
19°C 97% Yes No
18°C 2% Yes No
17°C 1% Yes No
+8 more
97% Leading
19°C 97%
18°C 2%
17°C 1%
+8 more
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Will Titan launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 61%
December 31, 2026 39%

Will Oro launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 59%
September 30, 2026 42%

Will Perena launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 50%
September 30, 2026 48%

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 57%
December 31, 2026 32%

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by…?

December 31 16%
June 30 1%

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

1% chance

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by…?

December 31 12%
June 30 1%

Thailand strikes Cambodia by…?

June 30, 2026 4%
January 31, 2026 0%

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

1% chance

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10% chance

LoL: LEC Versus 2026 Winner

G2 Esports 100%
Karmine Corp 0%

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

29% chance

Natural Disaster in 2026?

21% chance

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by…?

September 30 9%
February 28 0%

CA-17 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 96%
Republican Party 3%

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5% chance

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

↓ $2 100%
↓ $1.5 100%

Opinion FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$250M 100%
$800M 0%

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$500M 83%
$1B 83%

Rainbow FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$30M 85%
$70M 13%

Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 62%
$600M 50%

Will Rabby launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 41%
December 31, 2026 37%

Will Phantom launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 31%
December 31, 2026 13%

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

2 77%
3 11%
Moving Now

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? 75%
2 41%

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

13% chance

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

25% chance

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

11–13 32%
14–16 31%

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? 68%
1 19%

What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

↑ 30 ETH 100%
↓ 20 ETH 50%

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1500 100%
↑ 1550 24%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 17%
5.5% 8%

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Merab Dvalishvili 44%
Petr Yan 32%

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 57%
Nassourdine Imavov 26%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by…?

December 31 9%
June 30 1%

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by…?

December 31 6%
June 30 0%
Moving Now

US forces enter Venezuela again by…?

June 30 8%
January 31 0%

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by…?

December 31 38%
March 31 0%

Maduro guilty of all counts?

21% chance

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 37%
60+ 25%

CDL Regular Season – Top 4 Finish

Los Angeles Thieves 99%
OpTic Texas 93%

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

>$400M 51%
>$800M 50%

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by…?

December 31 58%
June 30 9%

US strike on Mexico by…?

December 31 14%
January 31 0%
Moving Now

US military action against Cuba by…?

December 31 48%
March 31 0%

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Amy Klobuchar 69%
Tim Walz 20%

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by…?

December 31 9%
March 31 0%

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5% chance

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