Prediction Markets | Politics, Sports & Crypto Odds

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mike Thompson 87%

Yes No

Eric Jones 9%

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

2 87%

Yes No

3 15%

Yes No

$98k Vol.

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Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson 100%

Yes No

Graham Platner 0%

Yes No

$904k Vol.

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Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 2026 60%

Yes No

Louis J. Crishock 22%

Yes No

$16k Vol.

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2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 91%

Yes No

2nd hottest 5%

Yes No

$117k Vol.

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Core CPI MoM – July 2026

0.2% 34%

Yes No

0.1% 26%

Yes No

$62k Vol.

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Core PCE YoY – June 2026

≤3.3% 78%

Yes No

3.4% 24%

Yes No

$18k Vol.

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Core PCE MoM – June 2026

0.2% 55%

Yes No

0.1% 32%

Yes No

$9k Vol.

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LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) – Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

G2NORD 100%

SGE 0%

G2NORD SGE

$71k Vol.

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) – Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

BLG 100%

LY 0%

BLG LY

9 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$6.3m Vol.

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Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Bev Craig 15%+ 84%

Yes No

Bev Craig 10–15% 6%

Yes No

$10k Vol.

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US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

31% chance

Yes No

$12k Vol.

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US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

11% chance

Yes No

$26k Vol.

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US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

18% chance

Yes No

$23k Vol.

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CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Winner

FURIA 38%

Yes No

LOUD 37%

Yes No

$38k Vol.

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LCS 2026 Summer Split Winner

LYON 43%

Yes No

Cloud9 29%

Yes No

$14k Vol.

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Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC

CHI 43%

Draw 21%

VWH 36%

CHI DRAW VWH

$143k Vol.

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MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

New York Yankees 40%

Yes No

Washington Nationals 36%

Yes No

$571k Vol.

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MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Arizona Diamondbacks 42%

Yes No

Athletics 37%

Yes No

$1.3m Vol.

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MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

Yordan Alvarez 91%

Yes No

Kyle Schwarber 85%

Yes No

$18k Vol.

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MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs

Kyle Schwarber 47%

Yes No

Ben Rice 40%

Yes No

$27k Vol.

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Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey

Mads Pedersen 100%

Yes No

Tadej Pogačar 0%

Yes No

$62k Vol.

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Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Elmedin Konaković 22%

Yes No

Nermin Nikšić 18%

Yes No

$49k Vol.

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

13% chance

Yes No

$3.2m Vol.

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

26% chance

Yes No

$719k Vol.

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What animals will Trump say in July?

Bird 100%

Yes No

Eagle 100%

Yes No

$20k Vol.

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How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?

2–3 78%

Yes No

0–1 13%

Yes No

$9k Vol.

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How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

2 41%

Yes No

3 27%

Yes No

$17k Vol.

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Bank of Canada Decision in September?

No Change 90%

Yes No

25 bps increase 10%

Yes No

$18k Vol.

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São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

Carlos Vila Nova 100%

Yes No

Nito Abreu 0%

Yes No

$41k Vol.

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UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 15%

Yes No

Bayern Munich 14%

Yes No

$962k Vol.

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Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion

Benfica 37%

Yes No

Sporting CP 32%

Yes No

$18k Vol.

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UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion

Milan 21%

Yes No

Juventus 19%

Yes No

$37k Vol.

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Serie A: 2027 Champion

Inter Milan 51%

Yes No

Juventus 15%

Yes No

$38k Vol.

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EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal 37%

Yes No

Manchester City 30%

Yes No

2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$1.6m Vol.

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LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 54%

Yes No

Real Madrid 42%

Yes No

$338k Vol.

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Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 87%

Yes No

Marseille 4%

Yes No

$52k Vol.

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Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026 12%

Yes No

December 31, 2027 11%

Yes No

$77k Vol.

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Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

5% chance

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Aristotle 100%

Yes No

CBOE 16%

Yes No

$12k Vol.

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California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

40% chance

Yes No

$1k Vol.

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California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

78% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

34% chance

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

66% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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Moving Now

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

40% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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California Clinic Funding Proposition

34% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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Moving Now

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

71% chance

Yes No

$2k Vol.

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Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

United States 10%

Yes No

United Kingdom 1%

Yes No

$466k Vol.

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