Prediction Markets | Politics, Sports & Crypto Odds

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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?

<50 68%

Yes No

50-74 25%

Yes No

$133k Vol.

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LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) – LES Regular Season

LUA 100%

UB 0%

LUA UB

$125k Vol.

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Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic 90%

Yes No

Google 6%

Yes No

$389k Vol.

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Best AI model on August 1?

Other 92%

Yes No

claude-opus-4-6-thinking 7%

Yes No

$84k Vol.

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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…?

July 18 100%

Yes No

July 20 100%

Yes No

8 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$9.4m Vol.

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Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by…?

August 31 10%

Yes No

July 31 2%

Yes No

$230k Vol.

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3rd Largest Company end of August?

Alphabet 89%

Yes No

Apple 6%

Yes No

$56k Vol.

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Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA 54%

Yes No

Apple 44%

Yes No

$152k Vol.

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by…? (2 week pause)

August 31 71%

Yes No

August 14 61%

Yes No

3 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$4.3m Vol.

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) – LPL Group Ascend

BLG 100%

TT 0%

BLG TT

3 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$3.5m Vol.

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Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+ 100%

Yes No

1490+ 100%

Yes No

$137k Vol.

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Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by…?

August 31 99%

Yes No

July 31 99%

Yes No

$1.1m Vol.

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Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by…?

July 31 100%

Yes No

July 24 2%

Yes No

$78k Vol.

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Houthi military action against Israel by…?

July 31 2%

Yes No

July 24 1%

Yes No

$89k Vol.

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July Inflation US – Monthly

≥0.1% 60%

Yes No

0.0% 32%

Yes No

$56k Vol.

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July Inflation US – Annual

3.3% 36%

Yes No

3.4% 35%

Yes No

$119k Vol.

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Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place

Auyl 62%

Yes No

Respublica 21%

Yes No

$53k Vol.

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Israel military action against Yemen by…?

July 31 4%

Yes No

July 14 0%

Yes No

$116k Vol.

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Next Italian National Team Head Coach

Thiago Motta 46%

Yes No

Roberto Mancini 24%

Yes No

$118k Vol.

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US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?

August 31 50%

Yes No

August 15 32%

Yes No

$1.3m Vol.

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US charges Hormuz fees by…?

December 31 11%

Yes No

August 31 2%

Yes No

1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time

$862k Vol.

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South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 74%

Yes No

Ralph Norman 20%

Yes No

$441k Vol.

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Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

Farage 60%+ 51%

Yes No

Farage 40-60% 35%

Yes No

$81k Vol.

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by…?

December 31 17%

Yes No

September 30 11%

Yes No

$60k Vol.

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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Spirit 47%

Yes No

MOUZ 17%

Yes No

$887k Vol.

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Israel military action against Beirut by…?

August 31 32%

Yes No

July 31 6%

Yes No

$155k Vol.

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Iran military action against a gulf state on…?

July 9 100%

Yes No

July 12 100%

Yes No

$2.4m Vol.

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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 45%

Yes No

August 13%

Yes No

$141k Vol.

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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by…?

August 31 42%

Yes No

July 31 9%

Yes No

$85k Vol.

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Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Binface 10–20% 50%

Yes No

Binface <10% 25%

Yes No

$145k Vol.

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Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Farage 60–70% 36%

Yes No

Farage 70–80% 29%

Yes No

$88k Vol.

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Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by…?

December 31 21%

Yes No

September 30 7%

Yes No

$70k Vol.

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Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface 78%

Yes No

William Clouston 9%

Yes No

$298k Vol.

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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 9?

18°C 37%

Yes No

19°C 27%

Yes No

$10k Vol.

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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

25% chance

Yes No

$24k Vol.

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Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by…?

December 31 79%

Yes No

September 30 48%

Yes No

$22k Vol.

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Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by…?

August 31 3%

Yes No

July 31 1%

Yes No

$84k Vol.

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Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage 96%

Yes No

Count Binface 4%

Yes No

2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time

$2.8m Vol.

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Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$90B 100%

Yes No

↑$100B 98%

Yes No

$25k Vol.

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Graham Platner charged by August 31?

4% chance

Yes No

$3k Vol.

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Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

11% chance

Yes No

$7k Vol.

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CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mai Vang 56%

Yes No

Doris Matsui 40%

Yes No

$7k Vol.

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AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

2 72%

Yes No

3 19%

Yes No

$31k Vol.

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Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?

Haley Stevens 29%

Yes No

Abdul El-Sayed 19%

Yes No

$6k Vol.

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M0-02 Republican Primary Winner

Ann Wagner 99%

Yes No

Peter Pfeifer 0%

Yes No

$7k Vol.

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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

El-Sayed <5% 28%

Yes No

El-Sayed 5–10% 23%

Yes No

$20k Vol.

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WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun 84%

Yes No

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 7%

Yes No

$15k Vol.

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VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Shannon Taylor 98%

Yes No

Salaam Bhatti 1%

Yes No

$14k Vol.

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