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Norway vs England Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
July 9, 2026
Norway Vs England World Cup 2026

Norway vs England odds headline a World Cup quarterfinal in Miami on Saturday, July 11. England meets Norway at Hard Rock Stadium with a semifinal place on the line. The named prediction market makes England a narrow favorite.

How the market reads Norway vs England

Kalshi prices England at 51% to win in regulation. Kalshi lists the draw at 26% and Norway at 24%. Kalshi’s separate advance market trades England near 61% to reach the semifinal. Norway sits near 41% in that Kalshi advance market. FanDuel shows a matching three-way line of England -105, draw +270, Norway +260. FanDuel’s to-advance market prices England at -190 and Norway at +156.

England beat Mexico 3-2 in the Round of 16 at Estadio Azteca. Jude Bellingham scored in the 36th and 38th minutes. Harry Kane added a penalty in the 60th minute. England played a man down after a 54th-minute red card. Norway upset Brazil 2-1 in its Round of 16 match. Erling Haaland scored in the 79th and 90th minutes. Norway also beat Cote d’Ivoire earlier in the knockout rounds.

England defender Jarell Quansah is suspended after his red card against Mexico. Harry Kane has scored six goals at this World Cup. Jude Bellingham is the first England midfielder with four goals in a World Cup campaign. Erling Haaland has scored in all four of his World Cup appearances. Haaland carries seven tournament goals for Ståle Solbakken’s Norway.

The winner reaches a World Cup semifinal next week. Norway has never reached a World Cup quarterfinal before this run. England last reached a World Cup semifinal in 2018. England carries clear tournament pedigree into the Miami match. Norway leans on Haaland to extend its historic run.

England shortened toward 63% in the Kalshi advance market recently. Norway faded toward 41% as trading continued this week. The tight regulation line reflects Haaland’s scoring threat against England. Traders will watch England’s defense without the suspended Quansah. The winner would face a semifinal opponent from the other bracket.

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Market-implied probabilities come from Kalshi and FanDuel, captured on July 8, 2026. VegasInsider and England Football reported the suspension news and knockout results.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com may earn a commission from links to partner platforms. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation. Availability of prediction markets and betting varies by location and is not legal everywhere.