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Spain vs Belgium Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
July 8, 2026
Spain Vs Belgium Odds And Prediction 2026

Spain vs Belgium odds headline the 2026 World Cup quarterfinal in Los Angeles on Friday, July 10. Kickoff is 3pm ET at Los Angeles Stadium, with a semifinal place at stake. The market frames Spain as the clear favorite over Belgium.

Spain vs Belgium odds tilt toward Spain to advance

DraftKings lists Spain at -160, the draw at +290, and Belgium at +450 in regulation. Those lines de-vig to roughly 58 percent Spain, 24 percent draw, and 17 percent Belgium. Kalshi’s World Cup semifinal qualifier market prices Spain near 76 cents to advance. That Kalshi price sits near a 76 percent market-implied probability for Spain. Belgium trades near 25 cents on the same Kalshi market to advance.

Spain carries a 35 match unbeaten run into the quarterfinal, dating to March 2024. Spain has not conceded a goal in five matches, outscoring opponents nine to zero. Mikel Merino scored late to beat Portugal 1-0 in the round of 16. Spain won Euro 2024, beating England in the final.

Belgium arrives unbeaten in 18 matches after routing the United States 4-1. Belgium won that round of 16 tie as a +180 underdog on the moneyline. Belgium last reached a World Cup semifinal in 2018. Romelu Lukaku and Youri Tielemans give Belgium proven knockout experience.

Spain reportedly manages fitness concerns around Lamine Yamal, who returned from a hamstring issue. Nico Williams also carries a knock, leaving Spain’s wing rotation thinner. Kevin De Bruyne did not feature in Belgium’s win over the United States. De Bruyne’s availability remains a fitness question for Belgium before kickoff. Thibaut Courtois anchors Belgium’s defense in goal.

The winner reaches a semifinal against France or Morocco, who meet on July 9. Spain chases a first World Cup title since 2010 under Luis de la Fuente. Belgium chases a first World Cup final in the nation’s history. Belgium’s best World Cup finish stands at third place from 2018.

Market watchers track De Bruyne’s fitness, which could shift Belgium’s +450 price. Spain opened at -160, and any drift signals late market money. Kalshi and DraftKings both price Spain near a three in four chance to advance. Polymarket prices France as the tournament’s outright favorite entering the quarterfinals.

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Odds cited come from DraftKings via VegasInsider and Polymarket and Kalshi markets, current on July 7. Fixture details and results come from Al Jazeera and FIFA reporting.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com may earn a commission from links to betting or prediction market partners. Kalshi holds a CFTC-regulated exchange designation, and Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Betting and prediction markets are not legal everywhere, so check local rules.