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Argentina vs Switzerland Odds and Prediction (2026)

Sport
July 9, 2026
Argentina Vs Switzerland World Cup 2026

Argentina vs Switzerland odds frame a World Cup quarterfinal in Kansas City on Saturday, July 11. Defending champion Argentina meets Switzerland at Arrowhead Stadium with a semifinal place at stake. The named prediction market favors Argentina by a clear margin.

How the market reads Argentina vs Switzerland

Polymarket assigns Argentina a 57.5% market-implied probability to win in regulation. Polymarket prices the draw near 26% and Switzerland at 16.5%. The Argentina vs Switzerland market had traded about $131,631 as of July 8, 2026. FanDuel lists a similar three-way line of Argentina -145, draw +260, Switzerland +450. FanDuel’s to-advance market prices Argentina at -320 and Switzerland at +245.

Argentina arrived through two comebacks in the knockout rounds. Argentina beat Egypt 3-2 in the Round of 16 after trailing 2-0. Cristian Romero scored in the 79th minute, and Messi followed in the 83rd. Enzo Fernandez headed the winner in second-half stoppage time. Argentina also edged Cape Verde 3-2 in extra time in the Round of 32. Switzerland reached this stage by beating Colombia 4-3 on penalties. That Round of 16 tie finished 0-0 after extra time.

Lionel Messi leads the World Cup Golden Boot race with eight goals. Argentina manager Lionel Scaloni has leaned on late substitutions for two straight wins. No new Argentina suspension was reported before this quarterfinal. Switzerland advanced on goalkeeper heroics in the penalty shootout against Colombia. Switzerland won Group B earlier with seven points and a plus-four goal difference.

The winner advances to a World Cup semifinal next week. Argentina chases a first back-to-back title since Brazil in 1962. Switzerland seeks its deepest World Cup run in decades. History favors Argentina, which won both prior World Cup meetings. Argentina beat Switzerland 2-0 in 1966 and 1-0 in 2014.

The Argentina implied probability firmed after the comeback against Egypt. Traders will watch whether Switzerland’s shootout pedigree compresses the underdog price. The draw near 26% reflects Argentina’s slow starts in both knockout wins. An Argentina win would book a World Cup semifinal place next week. The market still frames Switzerland as a live underdog, not a favorite.

Related World Cup Coverage

Market-implied probabilities come from Polymarket and FanDuel, captured on July 8, 2026. VegasInsider and Al Jazeera reported the knockout results and match details.

Probabilities shown are market-implied and not predictions or recommendations. This content is for informational purposes only. Lines.com may earn a commission from links to partner platforms. Polymarket operates under CFTC oversight. Availability of prediction markets and betting varies by location and is not legal everywhere.